BMIE Market 15239

Allegheny County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,410 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±870 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,024 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,746 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,045 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,187 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$226,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15239
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+76.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 25–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15239. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.1	82	40%	+32.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.9	64	35%	+22.4
Market Momentum Score	35.8	36	25%	+9.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,410	82	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	101,045	82	40%	+32.6
Households (ACS)	8,493	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.5	49	35%	+17.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.0	56	25%	+14.1
Population (ACS)	21,410	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	101,045	82	20%	+16.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.2	24	50%	+12.1
10-year restaurant growth	3.5	49	30%	+14.6
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

Pizza 16 · Italian 13 · American 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Bar 10 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Favorites	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2600 Route 286	open
Amili's Pizzeria Plum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2816 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1806 Route 286 Golden Mile Highway	open
Aroma Joe's Drive Thru Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	2435 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Azan Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese · Chinese	2352A Golden Mile Highway	open
Baked With Love	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	315 Unity Trestle Rd	open
Beez Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	957 Key West Dr	open
Bishop's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1811 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Brothers Beer	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2604 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Calabrese Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	311 Unity Trestle Rd	open
Center Tavern	Bar		7934 Saltsburg Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	2396 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	2396 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Chocolate Dreams And Wishes, Llc	Dessert		3249 Old Frankstown Rd	open
Conca D'Oro Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	926 Presque Isle Dr	open
Dana Vento	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Del's Plum Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	335 Unity Trestle Rd	open
Down the Road Lounge	Bar	American	700 Unity Trestle Rd	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	1803 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Eighty Acres Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1910 New Texas Rd	open
Eighty Acres Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1910 New Texas Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3243 Old Frankstown Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den Plum Borough Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2374 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Franco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	138 Unity Trestle Rd	open
Grandslam Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	417 Old Abers Creek Rd	open
Italian Club of Renton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	113 Barnett St	open
J L Stewarts Too	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		9755 Saltsburg Rd	open
J.t.p. Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		951 Old Frankstown Rd	open
John Anthony's Restaurant and Lounge	Bar	Italian · American	115 Center New Texas Rd	open
Kings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	950 Presque Isle Dr	open
Lelulo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	415 Unity Trestle Rd	open
Lisovich Lounge	Bar			open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1800 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Love n Spoonfuls	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1800 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Maya Lee's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7615 Saltsburg Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service		Rte 286	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1865 New Texas Rd	open
Palmieri's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	951 Old Frankstown Rd	open
Pizza Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7615 Saltsburg Rd	open
Pizza Guiseppe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7615 Saltsburg Rd	open
Pizza Maze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7615 Saltsburg Rd 7615	open
Pizza Toss	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	7615 Saltsburg Rd 7615	open
Pugliano's Italian Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	1808 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Restaurant Nicko Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1808 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Rivertown Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1811 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Rosie's Pierogies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	2820 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Salute Beer & Beverage	Bar		2348 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Shooti's Bar and Grille	Bar · Casual dining		100 Boyce Park Dr	open
Shrodi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7625 Saltsburg Rd	open
Stockman's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7678 Saltsburg Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	930 Presque Isle Dr	open
UTZ Quality Foods Utz Snacks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 Pennant Dr	open
Wendy's	Quick service		2396 Golden Mile Hwy	open
Wok In Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	415 Unity Center Rd	open
Pittsburgh Pizza Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7615 Saltsburg Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	28	23	6	13	4	3	NAICS1997
1999	28	24	6	14	4	3	NAICS1997
2000	24	20	6	10	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	27	22	7	11	4	4	NAICS1997
2002	26	23	7	13	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	26	25	9	13	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	30	28	9	15	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	30	28	11	13	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	28	26	11	12	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	24	21	8	10	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	23	20	6	12	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	6	12	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	22	6	14	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	26	22	6	14	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	31	26	9	15	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	34	29	9	17	3	4	NAICS2012
2014	36	32	11	18	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	38	34	10	21	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	36	32	10	20	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	33	30	11	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	31	12	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	36	32	15	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	27	12	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	36	32	14	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	29	11	15	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	34	30	11	16	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15239. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15668	3.7 mi	37	2023
15146	4.1 mi	87	2023
15235	4.8 mi	51	2023
15144	4.9 mi	10	2023
15147	5.0 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.