BMIE Market 15644

Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±767 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,547 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±377 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,836 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,046 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,744 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$909 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$169,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15644
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15644. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.8	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	42.4	42	25%	+10.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,512	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	64,684	38	40%	+15.3
Households (ACS)	8,547	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4	21	35%	+7.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	18,512	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	64,684	38	20%	+7.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	-4	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (69)

By cuisine

Pizza 15 · American 9 · Italian 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 17 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1888 Bites & Pints	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		501 Harrison Ave	open
APlus at Sunoco	Coffee shop	Coffee	Route 30 & Lewis Avenue	open
B & E Candy	Dessert	Dessert	1286 Harrison City Export Rd	open
Back In The Day Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		307 Clay Ave	open
Big Shot Bob's House Of Wings - Penn Township	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2044 Penny Lane Dr	open
Brooklyn's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1 Dolly Ave	open
Brush Creek Dining Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 S 3rd St	open
Candy's Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	643 Division St	open
China Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	225 Margaret Ave	open
Christopher's Gourmet Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6572 Lincoln Hwy	open
Churchills Sports Lounge	Bar · Casual dining	American	201 Baughman Ave	open
Citizen's Service Club	Bar		612 Chambers Ave	open
Cristiano's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	404 Clay Ave	open
D Best Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 Penny Lane Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service	Burgers · American	1244 College Ave 1244 College Ave	open
DeNunzio's Italian Restaurant DeNunzio's Italian Restaurants and Specialty Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	700 Lowry Ave	open
Diaz Club	Bar		301 Division St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6524 State Route 30	open
Enrico's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	610 Lowry Ave	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	225-299 Margaret Ave US-30	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	620 N 3rd St	open
Frankos	Bar		201 Baughman Ave	open
Glass City Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	602 Clay Ave	open
Grandma's Country Oven Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1004 Blank Rd	open
Happy Camper Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	202 Homer Dr	open
Highlands' Hideout	Bar		106 Cort St	open
Hungry Hanks Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	620 14th St	open
Johnnys Wifes Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 Harrison Ave	open
Kastners cafe and catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Catering	American	221 S 4th St	open
Kingd Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Lincoln Hwy W	open
Miller Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	107 S 2nd St	open
Nayna's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	117 N 7th St	open
Neighbors Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		813 Lowry Ave	open
Peinetti's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	512 Clay Ave	open
Penn Avenue BREWS	Bar		1317 Penn Ave	open
Perrone's Pub	Bar	American	1400 Harrison Ave	open
Persichetti's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood · Pizza	101 S 3rd St	open
Pitzainsane	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	117 N 7th St	open
Pitzer's Townhouse	Bar		101 S 5th St	open
Rang Development Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 Harrison Ave	open
Ricky's Classic Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	500 Lowry Ave	open
Ridge Top Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1608 Ridge Rd	open
Rigneys Sunshine Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Russian Club	Bar		200 N 4th St	open
Sforno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	217 S 4th St	open
Sfrbn Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6572 State Route 30	open
Sino Court	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2024 Penny Ln Dr	open
Ski's and Nick's Lounge	Bar	American	2035 State Route 130	open
Sobel's Obscure Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		500 Clay Ave	open
Square Deal Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	117 N 7th St	open
Stone Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6553 State Route 30	open
Subawy Sandwiches & Salads 5625 Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 Harrison Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	6 Lincoln Hwy W	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2038 Penny Lane Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1401 Harrison Ave	open
The 520 Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	520 Clay Ave	open
The Humidor Cigars & Lounge	Bar		202 S 2nd St	open
The Icing By LA	Bakery	Bakery	218 S 11th St	open
The Lobster Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	202 Baughman Ave	open
The Nest Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	407 Clay Ave	open
The Rooski Bar	Bar		97 Koter Dr	open
Warrior Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2032 Penny Ln Dr	open
West End Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	122 13th St	open
Wilkes Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3 Koter Dr	open
Will-onita's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 Penny Lane Dr	open
Wilson Candy Company	Dessert	Dessert	408 Harrison Ave	open
Your Sweet Cake Design Studio	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	543 Lowry Ave	open
Chef Robinsons Place Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1225 Lowry Ave	closed
Punch & Jr's Inc	Bar		627 Clay Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	31	20	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	26	15	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1996	31	18	—	—	—	13	SIC1987
1997	32	22	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	37	23	13	8	1	10	NAICS1997
1999	37	23	12	9	1	11	NAICS1997
2000	36	21	12	7	1	12	NAICS1997
2001	36	23	12	9	2	11	NAICS1997
2002	38	25	12	10	3	11	NAICS1997
2003	43	30	13	13	4	11	NAICS2002
2004	41	27	9	14	4	13	NAICS2002
2005	42	27	11	12	4	13	NAICS2002
2006	36	25	11	11	3	9	NAICS2002
2007	34	22	9	10	3	8	NAICS2002
2008	36	25	10	12	3	8	NAICS2007
2009	36	26	9	14	3	7	NAICS2007
2010	35	25	9	13	3	7	NAICS2007
2011	32	22	10	9	3	8	NAICS2007
2012	33	26	13	10	3	6	NAICS2012
2013	32	25	12	11	2	6	NAICS2012
2014	29	23	9	12	2	5	NAICS2012
2015	29	25	10	13	2	4	NAICS2012
2016	27	22	9	11	2	5	NAICS2012
2017	25	21	8	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	26	22	9	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	27	23	10	11	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	29	22	9	11	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	28	22	9	10	3	4	NAICS2017
2022	27	22	9	10	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	28	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15644. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15634	1.5 mi	1	2005
15623	1.6 mi	1	2016
15675	1.6 mi	1	2011
15636	2.6 mi	6	2023
15665	2.7 mi	2	2016
15611	3.5 mi	1	2001
15692	3.6 mi	—
15601	4.6 mi	125	2023
15626	4.7 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.