BMIE Market 15626

Westmoreland County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,607 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±257 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,105 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,493 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,254 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$241,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,753 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 15626
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	31 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 15626. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.0	50	40%	+20.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	30.6	31	35%	+10.7
Market Momentum Score	17.3	17	25%	+4.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,129	61	40%	+24.3
Median household income (ACS)	61,103	32	40%	+12.6
Households (ACS)	2,607	65	20%	+13.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	35%	+4.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.4	30	25%	+7.4
Population (ACS)	5,129	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	61,103	32	20%	+6.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	30%	+4.1
20-year restaurant growth	9.1	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 5 · American 4 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 10 · Bar 5 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Rivers 6 Pack & Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6750 Hollywood Blvd	open
Asian Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6518 US-22	open
Bob's Sub and Donut Connection Bob's Sub	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Sandwiches · Dessert	195 Sheffield Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	2400 State Route 66 100 Greensburg St	open
Delmont Firehall Social Hall	Bar			open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6518 US-22	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		2400 State Route 66	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	76 Greensburg St	open
Gene and Boots Candies/Delmont Gene and Boots Candies	Dessert		22 Old Route 66	open
Hot Rod's	Bar		6371 William Penn Hwy	open
Ianni's Pizzeria Ianni's New Derry / Babe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5 Freeport St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6543 US-22	open
Kings Family Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	200 Sheffield Drive	open
Lilja's Premiere Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2381 PA-66	open
Mama P's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	49 Greensburg St	open
Matshark Fitness Llc Dba Wallace Training Systems	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6518 State Route 22 Ste 436	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6526 US-22	open
Picante Mexican Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6543 State Route 22	open
Piper Bay Cafe	Café	Coffee	200 Sheffield Dr	open
Pittsburgh BBQ Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	6625 William Penn Hwy	open
Real Good Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 Center St	open
Red Barn Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		275 Manor Rd	open
Shield's Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Spaghetti & Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6371 William Penn Highway	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6586 Route 22	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6750 Hollywood Blvd Ste 800	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	195 Sheffield Dr Ste A	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6549 State Route 22	open
The Boulevard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6543 U S 22	open
The Happy Badger Sports Pub	Bar · Casual dining		100 Center Ice Dr	open
The Lamplighter Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	6566 William Penn Hwy	open
Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	100 Center Ice Dr	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	6700 Hollywood Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6595 State Route 22	open
Yellow Bridge Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		2266 PA-66	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	7	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	15	12	5	7	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	11	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	6	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	15	12	4	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	4	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	4	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	4	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	4	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	4	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	4	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	15	5	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	18	17	5	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	16	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 15626. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15632	2.4 mi	10	2023
15623	3.7 mi	1	2016
15633	4.6 mi	—
15644	4.7 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.