BMIE Market 16046

Butler County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,757 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,033 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,290 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,396 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,799 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,756 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,711 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$481,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16046
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+90.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	37 (range 34–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16046. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.6	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	76.5	77	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,757	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	151,560	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	7,290	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.2	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	19,757	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	151,560	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.8	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	90	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 12 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Bar 13 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6141 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19055 Perry Hwy	open
American Natural American Natural	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	940 Sheraton Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service		19075 Perry Hwy	open
Bacchus Wine Group Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		530 Northpointe Cir	open
BeBe Kakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	200 W Hook St	open
Big Shot Bob's House of Wings	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · American	130 Grand Ave	open
Big Spring Spirits - Seven Fields	Winery / distillery / taproom		526 Northpointe Cir	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	932 Sheraton Dr I-79 @ TURNPIKE	open
BOhèm Bistro	Bar	Spanish / tapas	530 Northpointe Cir	open
Breakneck Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		273 Mars Valencia Rd	open
Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe Brighton Hot Dog Shoppe- Rochester, Vanport, Moon Twp.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	1308 US-19	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	510 Northpointe Cir	open
Capone's House of Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	200 W Hook St	open
Carlucci's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	657 Castle Creek Dr	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		137 Grand Ave	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	525 Adams Shoppes	open
Convive Coffee Roastery Convive Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	960 Adams Shoppes	open
Cosmic Treats & Sweets	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	509 Pittsburgh St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	200 Adams Shoppes	open
Dented Keg Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		700 Adams Shoppes	open
Double Wide Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	100 Adams Shoppes	open
Dr Adams Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		211 Scharberry Ln	open
Eat'n Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19085 Perry Hwy	open
Ember & Vine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	910 Sheraton Dr	open
Flour & Sugar Cakery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	673 Castle Creek Drive Ext	open
Grand Avenue Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	139 Grand Ave	open
Hines Ward's Tavern 86	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	530 Northpointe Cir	open
Jimmy's Strip District Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	220 Mars Valencia Rd	open
Lao Sze Chuan Pittsburgh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	936 Sheraton Dr	open
Lrg Cranberry Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		926 Sheraton Dr	open
Luciano's Italian Brick Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	161 Scharberry Ln	open
Mamacita's Mexican Bistro & Cocktails	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	300 Adams Shoppes	open
Mars Beer Distributor	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		255 Mars Valencia Rd	open
Mars Brew House	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	502 Pittsburgh St	open
Mars Farmhouse Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	230 Mars Valencia Rd	open
Mars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	129 Grand Ave	open
Max & Erma's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	936 Sheraton Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	19055 Perry Highway (Rte 19)	open
Novel Breads Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		504 Pittsburgh St.	open
Off The Vine Pizza Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	160 Brickyard Rd	open
Pa Wine & Spirits Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		206 Seven Fields Blvd	open
Pig Iron Public House	Casual dining · Bar		926 Sheraton Dr	open
Poppies Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		256 Mars Valencia Rd # 256	open
Sga Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7001 Crider Rd	open
Speers Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	100 Adams Shoppes	open
Springfield Grille Springfield Grille - Boardman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	7001 Crider Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	206 Seven Fields Blvd	open
Stick City Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		109 Irvine St	open
Supremo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	641 Route 228	open
TD's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	19090 Perry Hwy	open
Tepache Mexican Kitchen & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	926 Sheraton Dr	open
The G.O.A.T. Sports Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		530 Northpointe Cir	open
The Gables	Bar		2012 Gables Ct	open
The Grand Candy Shop	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	130 Grand Ave	open
Tremont House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	910 Sheraton Dr Ste E	open
Vines by Hines Ward	Winery / distillery / taproom		536 Northpointe Cir	open
Yama Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	515 Adams Shoppes	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	21	21	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	17	10	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	11	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	10	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	10	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	23	20	10	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	27	23	13	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	29	25	13	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	28	24	12	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	25	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	25	11	12	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	32	28	13	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	33	29	13	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	34	31	14	14	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	33	28	14	11	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	32	28	15	10	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	32	28	16	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	34	30	18	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	33	28	13	11	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	34	28	14	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	39	32	14	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	39	31	13	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	30	11	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	32	9	19	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	32	7	20	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	47	38	9	23	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16046. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16024	2.7 mi	1	2015
16066	4.3 mi	79	2023
15086	4.8 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.