BMIE Market 16229

Armstrong County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,997 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,198 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,731 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,044 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±94 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$206,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,884 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16229
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2012 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2027	4 (range 2–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2008–2022 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16229. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2008–2022, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.0	62	40%	+24.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.4	75	35%	+26.4
Market Momentum Score	76.9	77	25%	+19.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,798	60	40%	+23.9
Median household income (ACS)	81,731	64	40%	+25.7
Households (ACS)	2,152	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.3	87	25%	+21.8
Population (ACS)	4,798	60	20%	+11.9
Median household income (ACS)	81,731	64	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	300	100	50%	+49.9
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · American 3 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1833 Coffee and Tea Company	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	300 5th St	open
Annemade Bread	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	113 Horseshoe Dr	open
Country Cabin "Old Fashion Cookies"	Dessert		735 High St	open
Early Birds	Casual dining · Bar	American	502 Market St	open
Essential Fermentation	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		309 5th St	open
Evolution Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1186 Butler Rd	open
Freeport Food Lot	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		357 Freeport Rd	open
Lily's at River Forest	Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 Club House Dr	open
Lock 5 Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	220 5th St	open
Main St Lounge	Bar		26 Main St	open
Marlee's House of Desserts	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	322 McVille Rd	open
Meighan's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	104 Goat Hill Rd	open
Sweet Treats Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	110 Arner Rd	open
The Chef & I Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		361 Ford City Road	open
The Rainbow Inn	Casual dining · Bar	American	323 2nd St	open
Vineyard By Mellon	Winery / distillery / taproom		640 Freeport Rd	open
Vivian's Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	225 5th St	open
Wolfie's Pizza Hearth	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	211 5th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	4	1	—	1	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	2	—	—	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	2	—	—	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	2	—	—	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	5	3	1	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	2	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	2	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16229. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
15682	2.7 mi	—
16055	4.9 mi	14	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.