BMIE Market 16055

Butler County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,993 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,486 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,455 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,690 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,123 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$315,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16055
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 10–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 16055. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.1	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.3	68	35%	+23.9
Market Momentum Score	50.2	50	25%	+12.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,993	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	90,950	74	40%	+29.6
Households (ACS)	3,535	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	51	25%	+12.7
Population (ACS)	8,993	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	90,950	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 5 · Chinese 4 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		704 S Pike Rd	open
Big Shot Bob’s House Of Wings - Sarver	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	123 Mulone Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	708 S Pike Rd	open
Cellar Works Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		110 S Pike Rd Ste 205	open
Cozmic Candy Shop	Dessert	Dessert	131 Mulone Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	612 S Pike Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	712 Ekastown Rd	open
Fox's Pizza Den Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	616 S Pike Rd	open
K&R Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	712 Ekastown Rd	open
K&S Chicken and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood	123 Mulone Dr	open
Kings Family Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	400 Buffalo Plaza	open
La Vigneta Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		352 N Pike Rd	open
La Vigneta Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		315 Bear Creek Rd	open
La Vigneta Winery & Restaurant	Winery / distillery / taproom		352 N Pike Rd	open
Mason & Krings Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		246 N Pike Rd	open
Ocean Dragon Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	216 Buffalo Plz	open
Palko's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		297 Ekastown Rd	open
Peter B's Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		111 Rock N Roll Ln	open
Rock-A-Fellas Sports Grille	Bar · Casual dining	American	111 Mulone Dr	open
Shanghai Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	612 S Pike Rd #103	open
Shanghai Tokyo Chinese Restaurant&sushi bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Japanese · Tea / bubble tea · Sushi · Chinese	104 S Pike Rd	open
Smokin' Toad's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	110 S Pike Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	400 Buffalo Plaza	open
Sub Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		698 Ekastown Rd	open
The Bus Stop Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	509 N Pike Rd	open
The Coffee Cup	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	110 S Pike Rd	open
The Lee Egg Roll Company	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	214 Ralston Rd	open
The Rustic Whisk	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		509 N Pike Rd	open
Toasted Amo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Italian	404 Buffalo Plaza	open
Tony's Pizza Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	117 Mulone Dr	open
Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	246 N Pike Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	10	5	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	4	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	3	5	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	4	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	5	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	6	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	8	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16055. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
16023	4.7 mi	3	2021
16056	4.9 mi	7	2023
16229	4.9 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.