BMIE Market 17061

Dauphin County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,981 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,157 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,193 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$166,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17061
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-23.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17061. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.4	48	40%	+19.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.5	58	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	73.6	74	25%	+18.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,842	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	55,611	22	40%	+9.0
Households (ACS)	2,981	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	35%	+27.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.6	54	25%	+13.5
Population (ACS)	6,842	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	55,611	22	20%	+4.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	30%	+23.5
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alexander's Cuisine & The Flour Fairy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		250 Market St	open
Angelo's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	317 Union St	open
BrewBoxx Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1677 US-209	open
China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	232 Market St	open
Daniel's Cafe	Café	Coffee	306 Market St	open
Eatenjoy Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	250 Market St	open
Hotel Hale Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		219 Market St	open
Jackazz Distilling, LLC.- Millersburg	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		311 Union St	open
Kimlee Vietnamese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1561 US-209 Ste B2	open
Lula’s Riverside Ice Cream and Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	515 River St	open
Lykens Valley Bison	Food truck		State Rt 209	open
Max's Grille & Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	146 Center St	open
Maximus Investments Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		146 W Center St	open
Millersburger Hotel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	146 Market St	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8343 market street	open
Peace of Mind Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Vegetarian	258 Market St	open
Rachel’s Soft Pretzels LLC	Bakery	Bakery	230 Market St	open
Swing at Lykens Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1724 PA-25	open
The Squirrel Farm Ice Cream & Sandwich Shop	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	287 Shiffer's Mill Rd	open
Williams Enterprises/Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Sandwiches · American	200 Market St	open
Wooden Nickel	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	219 Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	10	5	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	7	2	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17061. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17017	4.4 mi	1	2016
17023	4.8 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.