BMIE Market 17408
York County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 25,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,507 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,675 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $94,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,784 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,561 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $251,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,478 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 26.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17408 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +46.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +450.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 24 (range 19–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17408. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.3 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 79.7 | 80 | 35% | +27.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.8 | 76 | 25% | +19.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 25,431 | 86 | 40% | +34.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,565 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,214 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 46.7 | 79 | 35% | +27.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.7 | 78 | 25% | +19.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 25,431 | 86 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,565 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 76 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.8 | 74 | 50% | +46.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 46.7 | 79 | 30% | +29.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (69)
By cuisine
American 12 · Pizza 11 · Coffee 10 · Sandwiches 7 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bar 12 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 10 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 7 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3215 Honey Run Dr # DR-9439 | open |
| BrewVino BrewVino | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2779 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Brother's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1000 Hanover Rd | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 320 Town Center Drive West Manchester Mall | open |
| Carman's Creamery Inc | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American | 1109 Hanover Rd | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks | Quick service | 1000 Town Center Dr | open | |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 1000 Town Center Dr | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 1000 Town Center Dr. | open |
| Chick-Fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Breakfast | 1800 Loucks Rd | open |
| China wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2323 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Crooked Nites at the Tiki | Bar | open | ||
| Crumbl Cookies Crumbl | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 814 Town Center Dr | open |
| Denenberg Tap Service | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1498 Seven Valleys Rd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2700 Carlisle Rd Suite #3 | open |
| Donatellos 2 of west york | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4790 W Market St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 2700 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 1000 Town Center Drive | open | |
| Famous Hot Weiner Famous Hot Weiner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Burgers · American | 2179 York Crossing Dr | open |
| Fenderz Grill & Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 2000 Loucks Rd | open | |
| Firehouse Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 310 Town Center Dr | open |
| Fresh Start Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 4345 W Market St | open |
| Glacier Flakes-Chili Pepper Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2899 Carlisle Rd | open |
| HOLLA Spirits | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1940 Bank Ln | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1401 Kenneth Rd | open |
| JJ Panda | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 112 Pauline Dr | open | |
| Joe StrEAT Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1968 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Jumbo Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1550 Kenneth Rd | open |
| K & K Coffee Service, Inc. | Coffee shop | Coffee | 977 Trinity Rd | open |
| Krempire Brewery and Pub | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3845 Old Joseph Rd | open | |
| La Famiglia Bistro | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4790 W Market St | open |
| La Flamme Pit Bar and Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1769 Rainbow Cir | open | |
| Lee'S Diner. | Casual dining | American · Chinese | 4320 W Market St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | York Crossing Drive Space G York Crossing Shopping Center | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2165 York Crossing Dr | open |
| Logan's Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Steakhouse · BBQ | 2180 York Crossing Dr | open |
| Luciano’s Italian Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4790 W Market St | open |
| LZ Foxhound | Casual dining · Bar | 2006 Pineview Dr | open | |
| Marcello's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2323 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Marcello's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1800 Loucks Rd | open |
| Mary Jane's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4345 W Market St | open | |
| Masa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1720 Loucks Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Coffee · Burgers | 1800 Loucks Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2125 York Crossing Dr | open |
| Metro Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 360 Town Center Dr | open |
| Mikado Grill & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2185 York Crossing Dr | open |
| MOD Pizza MOD Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 370 Town Center Dr | open |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 380 Town Center Dr | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 380 Town Center Dr | open |
| Paper Street Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1800 Loucks Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 2251 York Crossing Dr | open |
| Plaza Azteca Mexican Restaurant Plaza Azteca, Methuen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 2180 York Crossing Dr | open |
| pph food truck llc | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 Bryan Ave | open | |
| Premier Brewing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | BBQ | 330 Town Center Dr | open |
| S And Z Food Service Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2071 Carlisle Rd | open | |
| Sherwood inn | Bar | American | open | |
| Shiloh Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2071 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Shorty's Funnel Cakes | Food truck | 3323 Ruppert Rd | open | |
| Smokey D's Backyard Barbecue & Catering, LLC. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1401 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1450 Kenneth Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1800 Loucks Rd #644 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2323 Carlisle Rd | open |
| TGI Fridays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1411 Kenneth Rd | open |
| The Chili Pepper Cantina Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3649 Bull Rd | open | |
| The Hive Coffee House and Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3665 Bull Rd | open |
| The Vault Pizza & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · American | 1990 Carlisle Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1800 Loucks Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1000 Town Center Dr | open |
| Westgate Restaurant and Lounge | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1550 Kenneth Rd | open | |
| Wings To Go - West York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1590C Kenneth Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 21 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |