BMIE Market 17876

Snyder County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,698 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	837 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,972 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,028 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$203,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,496 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17876
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	70.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	31 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	25 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17876. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.5	45	40%	+18.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	24.8	25	35%	+8.7
Market Momentum Score	18.0	18	25%	+4.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,827	43	40%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	70,972	49	40%	+19.4
Households (ACS)	748	44	20%	+8.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	60.2	8	25%	+1.9
Population (ACS)	1,827	43	20%	+8.6
Median household income (ACS)	70,972	49	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.4	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 6 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	128 S Route 15	open
Bloomin' Bagels of Shamokin Dam	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	2752 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3289 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2991 N Susquehanna Trail	open
China House Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2686 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Eagles Wind Coffee House	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3175 N Susquehanna Trail	open
El Torito El Torito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3255 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Golden Chopsticks Golden Chopsticks Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3004 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Hoss's Steak and Sea House Hoss's Steak and Sea House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	3134 N Susquehanna Trail	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3079 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2895 N Susquehanna Trail	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2584 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21 N Susquehanna Trail	open
Skeeter's BBQ	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	106 Victor Ln	open
V&l Drive-in Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3079 N Susquehanna Trl	open
Villa Teresa II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2664 N Susquehanna Trail	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	6	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	5	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17876. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17801	3.7 mi	30	2023
17870	4.7 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.