BMIE Market 17954

Schuylkill County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,623 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,921 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,564 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,390 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,806 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,806 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$782 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$83,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17954
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17954. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.7	44	40%	+17.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.4	36	35%	+12.7
Market Momentum Score	59.6	60	25%	+14.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,623	59	40%	+23.7
Median household income (ACS)	53,806	20	40%	+8.0
Households (ACS)	1,921	60	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.6	33	25%	+8.3
Population (ACS)	4,623	59	20%	+11.8
Median household income (ACS)	53,806	20	20%	+4.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AC Boardwalk	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Kings Village Plaza 40 Kings Vlg #0	open
BIG HILL Sports BAR	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		LIVE OAKS ROAD	open
Brewers Outlet	Bar		2881 Pottsville Minersville Hwy	open
Cafe Kurtek	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	Across from American Legion	open
Copper Creek Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American · Mexican	18 N Delaware Ave	open
DiMaggio's Pizza & Italian Restaurant - Minersville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	126 S 3rd St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2880 Pottsville Minersville Hwy	open
Fat Bellies Deli	Other	Sandwiches	439 Heffner St	open
Ficky's Ice Cream Cafe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	PA-901 #37	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	King's Village	open
Kat's Cafe & Restaurant	Café	European · Coffee · American	236 Sunbury St	open
Little Beans	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	501 Sunbury St	open
LZ's	Casual dining · Bar	American	476 Sunbury St	open
Main St. Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	sunbury and fourth	open
Main Street Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	401 Sunbury St	open
Miners Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		21 Sunbury St	open
Palermo Pizza and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	King's Plaza Shopping Center, Pottsville Minersville Hwy	open
Rancho Azteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	2880 Pottsville Minersville Hwy	open
SlapJacks Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		500 Pottsville St	open
Steve & Mary's Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14 Sunbury St	open
Strykers Bowling and Pub	Bar		2301-2599 West End Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	Rt 901	open
Sughr & Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	58 Kings Village Plaza	open
The Alibi Hotel & Nightclub	Bar		155 Sunbury St	open
The Curran Hotel	Bar		155 Sunbury St	open
The Little Brown Barrel	Bar · Casual dining		115 west Sunbury St	open
The Minersville Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	453 Sunbury St	open
Trish's Ice Cream Shop	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	333 Sunbury St	open
Washington Hotel	Bar		201 Sunbury St	open
Wooden Keg Irish Tap Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 Sunbury St	open
Lazy Dog Coffeehouse	Café	Coffee	18 E Sunbury St	closed
The Hoagie House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		236 Sunbury St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	14	9	5	3	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	15	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	15	9	5	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	13	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	11	6	2	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	10	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	14	10	3	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	12	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	16	11	6	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	18	13	7	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	16	11	6	4	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	15	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS2007
2011	16	11	6	4	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	16	10	5	4	1	5	NAICS2012
2013	16	10	4	5	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	16	10	4	5	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	15	10	4	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	9	5	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	13	9	5	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	13	9	5	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	12	8	4	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	12	8	3	4	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	14	10	5	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 17954. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
17901	0.8 mi	35	2023
17951	1.1 mi	—
17974	1.3 mi	—
17944	2.6 mi	1	2016
17923	3.7 mi	—
17970	4.2 mi	10	2023
17965	5.0 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.