BMIE Market 18072

Northampton County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,571 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,682 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$253,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18072
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 6–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18072. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.5	64	40%	+25.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.9	77	35%	+26.9
Market Momentum Score	46.3	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,938	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,716	63	40%	+25.2
Households (ACS)	2,729	66	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	133.3	95	35%	+33.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	6,938	65	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,716	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-22.2	12	50%	+6.1
10-year restaurant growth	133.3	95	30%	+28.5
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · Italian 6 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 5 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
512Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	2 E Pennsylvania Ave	open
Beck's nest	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Becks Backyard Party Zone	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1341 Blue Valley Drive	open
El Portal Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	492 E Main St	open
Emiliano's Pizzeria II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1436 Bangor Rd	open
Giordano's Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13 W Pennsylvania Ave	open
Good Azz Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		492 E Main St	open
Hardball Cider	Casual dining · Bar		506 E Main St	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4 S Westbrook Ave	open
Lookout Fire Company No. 1	Bar		44 W Bell Ave	open
Moonlight Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	301 S Robinson Ave	open
Mr Pastie Takeout	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	10 E Bell Ave	open
Panda Garden Panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1414 Blue Valley Dr	open
Pen Argyl Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	510 E Main St	open
Pen Argyl Republican Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 W Pennsylvania Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1383 Blue Valley Dr	open
The Slate Hotel & Pub	Casual dining · Bar		509 E Main St	open
Tolino's Speed Break Stores	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1035 Blue Valley Dr	open
Vinny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1414 Blue Valley Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18072. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18091	3.7 mi	20	2023
18013	4.9 mi	19	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.