BMIE Market 18091

Northampton County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,547 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±553 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,673 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,926 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,520 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,354 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$277,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18091
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	30.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18091. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64	64	40%	+25.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.6	50	35%	+17.4
Market Momentum Score	59.8	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,547	65	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	80,464	63	40%	+25.1
Households (ACS)	2,673	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	30.6	19	25%	+4.9
Population (ACS)	6,547	65	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	80,464	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	17.7	44	20%	+8.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 9 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1420 Jacobsburg Rd	open
Anthony's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	829 Male Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service		950 S Broadway	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	855 South Broadway	open
Big Boys Kettlecorn	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		Blue Ridge Flea Market,	open
Daisy Family Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6589 Sullivan Trail	open
Detzi's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	570 N Lehigh Ave	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	Ri 33 & Rt 512	open
Family & Friends Country Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	244 E Moorestown Rd	open
Gaglione's Cucina Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1420 Jacobsburg Rd	open
Gap Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1041 S Broadway	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	827 Male Rd	open
Identity Coffee Lehigh Valley	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	855 S Broadway	open
Jaid's Lounge	Bar		130 N Broadway	open
Jimmy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	130 N Broadway	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1036 S Broadway	open
Mojo's Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		279 W Moorestown Rd	open
Original Doughboy's Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	232 W Moorestown Rd	open
Potsy's on Broadway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	American · Sandwiches	21 S Broadway	open
Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	501 E Moorestown Rd	open
Rita’s of Wind Gap PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert		open
Rockin' Cigar Bar	Bar		44 W 1st St	open
Sal's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	487 E Moorestown Rd #1	open
Scorecard Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		130 N Broadway	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6669 Sullivan Trl	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	501 E Moorestown Rd	open
Sundaes On Broadway	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	101 S Broadway	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6695 Sullivan Trl	open
The Beer Stein	Bar		62 N Broadway	open
Three Brothers Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 E Moorestown Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6696 Sullivan Trl	open
Windgap Meats Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 S Broadway	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	22	20	10	8	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	9	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	15	8	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	19	17	8	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	18	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	17	8	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	18	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	17	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	20	17	8	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	20	18	8	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	17	9	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	20	19	10	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	10	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	20	9	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	20	9	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	20	10	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18091. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18072	3.7 mi	7	2023
18064	4.7 mi	32	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.