BMIE Market 18433

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,564 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±902 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,508 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,041 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$988 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$213,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18433
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18433. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.1	62	40%	+24.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.3	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	60.4	60	25%	+15.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,564	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	75,000	55	40%	+22.0
Households (ACS)	3,074	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	7,564	67	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	75,000	55	20%	+11.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alexander's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	604 US-6	open
Bottler's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		200 Delaware St	open
Falcon's Nest	Casual dining · Bar	American	403 Hudson St	open
Heartlake Lodge	Casual dining · Bar	American	1598 Heart Lake Rd	open
J&B Bar	Bar		709 Hill St	open
Longworth's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	615 Washington Ave	open
RiverView Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	410 Washington Ave	open
Rosaliano’s on the River	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Washington Ave	open
Steve & Irene's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1110 US-6	open
SugarBabies LTD	Dessert		700 Poplar St	open
Tasty Scoops Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	513 Lackawanna Ave	open
The Ponderosa	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	719 Pine St	open
TnT Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	618 Washington Ave	open
Wayne's Family Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	650 Washington Ave Rear	open
Windsor Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	669 Washington Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	6	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	11	7	7	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	10	6	5	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	12	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18433. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18407	2.7 mi	24	2023
18447	4.8 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.