BMIE Market 18447

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±641 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,270 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,548 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,829 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,677 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,655 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±150 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$207,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,685 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18447
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18447. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.1	59	40%	+23.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.3	44	35%	+15.5
Market Momentum Score	32.0	32	25%	+8.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,470	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,677	42	40%	+16.7
Households (ACS)	4,270	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	9,470	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,677	42	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Italian 8 · American 7 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aki Asian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	422 W Lackawanna Ave	open
Armenti's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1454 E Lackawanna Ave	open
Boyarsky's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		86 Hill Rd	open
Cafe Lilah	Café	Coffee	1450 E Lackawanna St	open
Cal Mal Vending	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1503 E Lackawanna St	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1550 Main St	open
Church Street Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1454 E Lackawanna Ave	open
Coney Island of Dickson City	Quick service	Burgers · American	1500 Main Ave	open
Daisy's Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	101 7th St	open
Ell’s Sourdough Shop	Bakery	Bakery	514 S Valley Ave	open
Ethan's Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	216 W Lackawanna Ave	open
Freedom Bar & Grill	Bar		901 N Valley Ave	open
Genetti Manor Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1505 Main St	open
Giff’s Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	310 Main St	open
Jon Pierre's American Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	590 Burke Byp	open
Karps Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	American · Sandwiches	51 Dennis Rd	open
Ken's Bar	Bar		119 Delaware Ave	open
Last Minute Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		320 Wemberly Hills Rd	open
Laura's Pizza & Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	991 Lakeland Dr	open
Little Spuds Pierogi Company	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · German / Eastern European	877 Justus Blvd	open
Lou's Pizza Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	112 Hull Ave	open
Lovett's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	802 E Lackawanna Ave	open
Luigi's Pizza	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	302 Lackawanna Ave	open
Lynn and Louie's	Bakery	Bakery	412 W Lackawanna Ave	open
M & J's	Casual dining · Bar	American	542 Wildcat Rd	open
Maiolatesi Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		32-B Cabernet Dr	open
Ne Pizza Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 Hull Ave	open
Nono's Homemade Pasta/Tracy Borgna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	222 Gravity Ave	open
North Valley Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		901 N Valley Ave	open
Olyphant, PA The Queen City	Bar		400 Lackawanna Ave	open
Queen City Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		400 Lackawanna Ave	open
Roger's RoadSide Kitchen	Buffet	BBQ · Seafood	97 Koehler Hill Rd	open
Russens Sports Bar	Bar		201 River St	open
Schooners Pub	Bar · Casual dining		723 E Lackawanna Ave	open
Scoops	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
Stone Elephants	Casual dining · Bar		415 W Lackawanna Ave	open
The Bar and Company	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Spanish / tapas	415 W Lackawanna Ave	open
Vidaro's Pizza & Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	310 Main St	open
Vincenzo's Pizzeria - Scott Township	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8 Quinton Rd	open
Runco's Tavern & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	120 Lincoln St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	11	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	13	3	—	2	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	11	3	—	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	10	4	—	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	11	3	1	2	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	12	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	10	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	12	5	2	3	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	12	6	3	3	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	13	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	5	2	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	12	5	2	3	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	11	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	12	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	17	10	4	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	19	13	4	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	15	10	2	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	17	11	4	6	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	19	12	5	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	19	12	6	5	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	20	13	5	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	18	11	3	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	17	9	—	6	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	18	10	—	6	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	20	11	3	5	3	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18447. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18452	2.4 mi	11	2023
18519	3.4 mi	29	2023
18471	4.2 mi	1	2016
18508	4.3 mi	55	2023
18403	4.4 mi	21	2023
18433	4.8 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.