BMIE Market 18403

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,851 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,051 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,087 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,957 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,069 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$223,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18403
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18403. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.0	63	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.0	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	58.6	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,851	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	77,521	59	40%	+23.5
Households (ACS)	3,051	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5	50	35%	+17.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	30.7	19	25%	+4.8
Population (ACS)	6,851	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	77,521	59	20%	+11.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5	61	50%	+30.7
10-year restaurant growth	5	50	30%	+14.9
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · American 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Albi's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	80 N Main St	open
Barrett's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		474 N Main St	open
Breaker Brewing Company	Bar			open
Breaker Brewing Outpost	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		192 Wildcat Rd	open
Bud's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		402 N Main St	open
Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	Scranton-carbondale Highway	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	671 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
East Side Bar	Bar		458 Salem Rd	open
Eastern Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	18 Kennedy Dr	open
Eynon VFW Post 7963	Bar		272 Main St	open
Ginger's Pies	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	139 S Main St	open
Giordano Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 S Main St	open
J J & J Sisters Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		474 N Main St	open
J, A & T Healing, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Highlands Blvd Ste 101	open
Kenny's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	153 Spruce St	open
KFC KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	531 Scranton-Carbondale Highway	open
Kramer's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	100 S Main St	open
La Padrinos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Latin American (other)	7 Kennedy Dr	open
Leo's Delicatessen and Marketplace	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	1 Highlands Boulevard, Ste 105	open
Loco Hombre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	661 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Lucci's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	171 Main St	open
Maiolatesi Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		728 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	525 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Mosaic Restaurant Group I	Restaurant (service type not stated)		291 Main St	open
Pak Eynon Management Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		531 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Pasquale's Pizzeria and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	485 Main St	open
Patti's Pitas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	605 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Pete N' Reenie's	Casual dining · Bar	American	463 Main St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1437 Main Street	open
Queen Of Tarts Desserts	Bakery	Bakery	452 N Main St	open
Reina's Place	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	222 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Rossi's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	150 S Main St	open
Sebastianelli's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	100-356 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Sinned Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		221 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	741 Scranton/Carbondale Hwy Unit 5	open
Tasty Freeze	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	460 US-6	open
The Grill at the Highlands	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Highlands Blvd	open
The Moontower Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	239 Main St	open
Tiffany's Tap & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		291 Main St	open
Truck 'N Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 S Main St	open
Zax Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery	234 Scranton Carbondale Hwy Ste A	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	22	18	8	6	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	15	5	5	5	2	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	6	5	5	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	16	7	5	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	9	4	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	7	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	19	15	4	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	14	4	7	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	20	15	7	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	18	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	23	17	7	8	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	27	22	10	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	24	20	9	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	22	17	8	7	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	23	19	9	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	24	20	10	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	26	21	12	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	25	20	10	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	25	20	10	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	25	19	9	8	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	26	20	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	20	7	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	21	8	8	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18403. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18452	3.3 mi	11	2023
18434	3.9 mi	9	2023
18447	4.4 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.