BMIE Market 18452

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,203 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±340 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±235 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,802 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,312 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,438 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,892 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±317 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$203,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18452
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+83.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18452. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	46.4	46	40%	+18.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.8	38	35%	+13.2
Market Momentum Score	31.9	32	25%	+8.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,203	61	40%	+24.4
Median household income (ACS)	56,438	24	40%	+9.5
Households (ACS)	2,202	62	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.1	34	25%	+8.6
Population (ACS)	5,203	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	56,438	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

Bakery 6 · Pizza 5 · Italian 4 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · American 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 9 · Bakery 6 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A.J.'s Club Soda	Bar		1017 Main St	open
Alpine Swirl	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1150 Main St	open
Andy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	528 Main St	open
Benny's Sports Bar and Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1216 Main St	open
Blank Slate Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	1000 Main St	open
Cafe Soriano	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Italian · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	523 Main St	open
Capra Collina Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1971 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Case Quattro Winery	Bar		1542 Main St	open
Coccetti's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Bakery	Coccetti's a restaurant & bakery, 1124 Main St	open
Dawn's Ruby Room	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	303 Chestnut St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1578 Main St	open
DonBaldo's by Iris	Casual dining		978 Main St	open
Ferrone Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		505 Main St	open
Italian Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	978 Main St	open
Joseph's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1546 Main St	open
Kabuki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1574 Main St	open
King's Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1437 Main St	open
La Chingada Restaurant Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	978 Main St	open
Lulu's Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery	1000 Main St	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1578 Main St	open
Peckville bar and burgers	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	978 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1437 Main St Lackawanna	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1568 Main St Unit 8	open
Sugar Ray's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	50 Sturges Rd	open
Sweet Treats Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	1000 Main St	open
The Brew House & Back Room Bar	Bar		38 Sturges Rd	open
Tony's Chapman Lake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1137 Main St	open
VFW	Bar		123 Electric St	open
Zeng Restraunt Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1574 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	13	9	5	3	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	12	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	14	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	14	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	10	6	3	3	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	12	8	3	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	16	11	5	5	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	13	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	9	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18452. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18447	2.4 mi	11	2023
18519	2.6 mi	29	2023
18403	3.3 mi	21	2023
18434	3.3 mi	9	2023
18512	4.0 mi	25	2023
18508	4.1 mi	55	2023
18509	4.6 mi	22	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.