BMIE Market 18519

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,266 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,396 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,104 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,472 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,666 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$992 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$181,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18519
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	43.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-17.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+141.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 23–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18519. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.1	48	40%	+19.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.9	38	35%	+13.3
Market Momentum Score	31.2	31	25%	+7.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,266	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	58,500	27	40%	+10.8
Households (ACS)	2,396	64	20%	+12.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.4	52	35%	+18.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	55.1	8	25%	+2.1
Population (ACS)	5,266	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	58,500	27	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-17.1	14	50%	+7.1
10-year restaurant growth	7.4	52	30%	+15.5
20-year restaurant growth	16	43	20%	+8.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (63)

By cuisine

American 12 · Pizza 11 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Bakery 5 · Asian 4 · Mexican 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Japanese 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Bar 12 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurants A&W Singapore	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers · American	440 Carbondale Scranton Hwy	open
Angie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	834 Main St	open
Around Somewhere	Bar			open
Bar 1019	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Basilico's Pizzeria Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1019 Commerce Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	524 Scranton Carbondale Hwy	open
Burrito Loco Cantina & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1126 Commerce Blvd	open
Captains Sports Bar and Entertainment Complex	Bar	American		open
Carmalt	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1097 Carmalt St	open
Charlie Browns Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	941 Viewmont Dr	open
Cheap Shots Bar And Restaurant	Bar		1044 Main St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	4005 Commerce Blvd	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3905 Commerce Blvd	open
China Palace restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1013 Commerce Blvd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1245 Commerce Blvd	open
City Pizza & Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican	800 Main St	open
Colarusso's Coal Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	280 Main St	open
Colarusso's Coal Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1126 Commerce Blvd	open
Colper Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		280 Main St	open
Crumbl Cookies Crumbl	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	700 Commerce Blvd	open
Dave's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	700 Commerce Blvd Unit 11B	open
De Pura Cepa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	3918 Commerce Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1510 Main Street	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	735 Scranton-Carbondale Hwy	open
Fun N Games Grub & Pub	Bar		1351 Main St	open
Gertrude Hawk Chocolates Gertrude Hawk Ocean County	Dessert · Quick service		615 Commerce Blvd	open
Gertrude Hawk Chocolates Gertrude Hawk Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	1124 Commerce Blvd	open
Giavanna's Pizzeria of Dickson City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	800 MAIN St	open
Gio's Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1249 Commerce Blvd	open
Happy Valley Sports Bar	Bar		516 Storrs St	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3905 Commerce Blvd	open
Katrina's Pizza & Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	813 Boulevard Ave	open
King Crab King Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4011 Commerce Blvd	open
La Tonalteca La Tonalteca - Scranton,PA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	46 Viewmont Dr	open
Legends Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		750 Boulevard Ave	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		Scranton Carbondale Hwy Dickson City, PA	open
Lotus Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	840 Scranton Carbondale Hwy Ste 102	open
Main Street Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	235 Main St	open
Main Street Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	1500 Main St	open
Mainline Hoagie & Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	1035 Main St	open
MOOYAH Burgers, Fries & Shakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1249 Commerce Blvd	open
Nosh	Bar		280 Main St	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	1101 Commerce Blvd	open
Priceburg Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	800 Main St	open
Primanti Bros. Restaurant And Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	1249 Commerce Blvd	open
PrimoHoagies PrimoHoagies	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1945 Commerce Blvd & Rt 6	open
Red Miso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Japanese · Asian	1249 Commerce Blvd	open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1235 Commerce Blvd	open
Roseanna's Pizza And Pasta House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	998 Main St	open
Royal Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	821 Commerce Blvd	open
Smiler's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	600 Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1152 Commerce Blvd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	1112 Commerce Blvd.	open
Super Suppers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1110 Commerce Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	823 Commerce Blvd	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	1255 Commerce Blvd	open
The Miners Beer Garden	Bar		302 Pancoast St	open
Tokyo Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	500 Commerce Blvd	open
Toyko	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	500 Commerce Blvd	open
UNO Pizzeria & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	3905 Commerce Blvd	open
Vintner's Circle Dickson City	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1152 Commerce Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	885 Viewmont Dr.	open
Yogurt City aka The YC	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3916 Commerce Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	24	19	7	10	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	22	17	6	9	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	22	16	6	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	22	19	9	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	25	20	7	9	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	29	25	9	10	4	2	NAICS2002
2004	29	26	11	10	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	30	27	9	14	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	28	25	10	11	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	24	23	10	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	24	22	8	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	21	19	5	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	22	8	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	24	23	9	9	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	25	24	8	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	28	27	10	10	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	29	13	10	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	38	36	15	14	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	37	35	14	14	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	37	35	14	14	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	35	13	16	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	31	11	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	29	11	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	31	11	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	29	10	16	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	29	10	16	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18519. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18508	1.5 mi	55	2023
18509	2.3 mi	22	2023
18452	2.6 mi	11	2023
18512	3.1 mi	25	2023
18447	3.4 mi	11	2023
18510	3.8 mi	8	2023
18503	4.1 mi	37	2023
18434	4.7 mi	9	2023
18504	4.7 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.