BMIE Market 18510

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,332 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,025 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,185 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,119 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,500 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,235 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$181,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,874 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18510
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-46.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18510. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.0	53	40%	+21.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.7	54	35%	+18.8
Market Momentum Score	20.3	20	25%	+5.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,332	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	53,235	19	40%	+7.7
Households (ACS)	5,185	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.6	90	25%	+22.4
Population (ACS)	14,332	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	53,235	19	20%	+3.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-11.1	17	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Italian 9 · Pizza 7 · American 6 · Coffee 6 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · European 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
409 on Adams at Lackawanna College	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	409 Adams Ave	open
Angelo's Italian Ristorante	Bar	Italian · Seafood	1120 Wheeler Ave	open
Aroma Cafe	Café	Coffee	901 Mulberry St	open
Blackwatch Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	239 Arthur Ave	open
Brennan's Pub	Bar		963 Prescott Ave	open
Cafe Classico	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	1416 Mulberry St	open
Carmella's Restaurant, Bar and Catering	Catering · Bar	Italian	140 Erie St	open
Chen Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1212 Mulberry St	open
Ck's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1201 Mulberry St	open
Cockeyed Oscars Place	Bar		1234 Mulberry St	open
Crotti's on Ash	Bar		1431 Ash St	open
Curry Delight Indian Eateries Curry Delight Indian Restaurant Morrinsville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	404 Prescott Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1420 Mulberry Street	open
Duke's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	620 S Blakely St	open
GoodFellas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	1210 Mulberry St	open
Granteed's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	817 Mulberry St	open
Jack's Draft House	Bar · Casual dining		802 Prescott Ave	open
Kings Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1212 Mulberry St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1201 Mulberry St	open
La Cucina Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	600 S Blakely St	open
Mansour's Market	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	969 Prescott Ave	open
Nibbles & Bits	Dessert	Dessert	1427 Ash St	open
Patty Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1408 Vine St	open
Quiznos Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Other	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · American	800 Linden St Bldg 2 Fl	open
Rocky's Bar and Eatery	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	963 Prescott Ave	open
Russell Preno’s Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	1918 Ash St	open
Scranton Botanical Tea Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1402 Ash St	open
Scranton Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1225 Mulberry St	open
Sibio's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1240 Quincy Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1302 Linden St	open
The Glass Onion Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1018 Prescott Ave	open
The Green Frog	Bar	American	815 Mulberry St	open
Which Wich	Other	Sandwiches	University of	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	8	6	2	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	20	10	7	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2000	21	10	7	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	22	12	7	5	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	22	11	6	4	1	6	NAICS1997
2003	19	9	5	4	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	21	11	6	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	23	12	6	6	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	23	12	7	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	22	12	6	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2008	26	13	7	6	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	27	15	8	7	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	27	12	9	3	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	31	10	9	1	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	28	8	7	1	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	25	8	7	1	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	23	9	8	1	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	9	8	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	24	9	8	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	17	9	8	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	20	10	8	—	—	4	NAICS2017
2019	19	10	7	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	18	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18510. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18503	1.3 mi	37	2023
18505	1.4 mi	30	2023
18509	1.6 mi	22	2023
18512	2.9 mi	25	2023
18508	3.4 mi	55	2023
18504	3.4 mi	28	2023
18517	3.8 mi	5	2023
18519	3.8 mi	29	2023
18507	3.9 mi	26	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.