BMIE Market 18518

Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,313 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,040 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,812 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,483 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$859 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$174,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,865 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18518
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+31.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+61.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18518. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.4	61	40%	+24.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.7	54	35%	+18.8
Market Momentum Score	69.1	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,573	68	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	71,812	50	40%	+20.0
Households (ACS)	3,786	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.5	28	25%	+6.9
Population (ACS)	8,573	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	71,812	50	20%	+10.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	31.3	84	50%	+41.9
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	5	37	20%	+7.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

Italian 12 · American 11 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agostini Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1216 S Main St	open
Anthony's Restaurant Anthony's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	202 S Main St	open
Arcaro and Genell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	443 S Main St	open
Augustine's Club 17	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	518 N Main St	open
Bella Baketique	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	510 S Main St	open
Bella Faccias Personalized Chocolates & Gifts	Dessert	Dessert	512 S Main St	open
Billy G's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 S Main St	open
Black Earth Magical Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	514 S Main St	open
Bobo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	201 N Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	205 South Main Street	open
Cafe Rinaldi	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	426 S Main St	open
Carrie's Italian Specialties and Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Italian · Dessert	107 Amity Ave	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	325 S Main St #1	open
Cusumano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	432 S Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	405 S Main Street	open
Dooley's Pub and Eatery	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	120 Oak St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	103 N Main St	open
E-Lane's Diner	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	10 Lonesome Rd	open
Electric City Ciderworks	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		945 S Main St	open
Fanucci's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	112 S Main St	open
Ficcos Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	405 S Main St	open
G&G Mexican Grill and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	230 Oak St	open
G.I.'s	Bar		219 W Mary St	open
La catrina restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	230 Oak St	open
Largo's Place	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	815 S Main St	open
Lawgy's	Bar		1101 Spring St	open
Marie's Diner	Casual dining	American	2 Lonesome Rd	open
Mary Lou's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	209 Dunn Ave	open
Mary Street Bar n Grill	Bar	Pizza	219 W Mary St	open
Maxie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	Keyser Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	411 S Main St	open
Mondano Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	112 South Main Street	open
Old World Italy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	536 Fallon St	open
Oriental Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	201 N Main St	open
Picc's Ice Cream	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	938 Moosic Rd	open
Revello's Pizza	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	502 S Main St	open
Salerno's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	139 Moosic Rd	open
Scoops Here It Is	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	731 S Main St	open
The Backroad Pub & Eatery	Bar · Casual dining		320 S Keyser Ave	open
V.i.P hookah lounge	Bar		107 N Keyser Ave	open
Wise guys bar & grill	Bar		65 Connell St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	13	8	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	16	11	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	17	13	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	13	8	4	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	16	12	7	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	10	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	22	15	9	5	1	6	NAICS1997
2002	22	17	9	7	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	26	20	10	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	24	19	8	10	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	24	20	8	9	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	24	20	11	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	24	20	12	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	26	22	13	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	25	21	13	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	23	21	13	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	19	10	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	19	12	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	17	12	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	16	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	17	13	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	13	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	20	16	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	12	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	16	12	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	17	13	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	11	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	18	12	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	21	12	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18518. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18517	1.9 mi	5	2023
18642	2.2 mi	2	2016
18641	2.7 mi	5	2023
18507	3.2 mi	26	2023
18504	3.8 mi	28	2023
18503	4.4 mi	37	2023
18505	4.8 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.