BMIE Market 18641

Luzerne County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,305 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,862 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±186 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,812 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,183 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,708 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$963 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$151,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18641
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	18 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18641. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.4	61	40%	+24.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.5	56	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	18.1	18	25%	+4.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,305	64	40%	+25.6
Median household income (ACS)	75,708	56	40%	+22.5
Households (ACS)	2,862	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.9	81	25%	+20.2
Population (ACS)	6,305	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	75,708	56	20%	+11.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 18 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-28.6	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 8 · Pizza 6 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Casual dining 10 · Bar 7 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Almendez Pizza and Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Pizza	733 Main St	open
amelia’s Subdivision Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	743 Main St	open
Andy's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Coffee	617 Main St	open
Arturo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	140 Main St	open
Bobby O's	Casual dining	American	300 Main St	open
Boozer's Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		635 Main St	open
Cebula's Pizza & Bar Dupont	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	295 Main St	open
China Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	215 Main St	open
Choo-Choos Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	434 Main St	open
Colarusso's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	725 Main St	open
Crafty Beans	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	294 Main St	open
Cwikla's Quality Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Pizza · Dessert	623 Main St	open
Damon's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28 Concorde Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Casual dining · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bar	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	Wilkes Barre Scranton Airport	open
Ernie G's Pub and Eatery	Bar · Casual dining		1022 Main St	open
Giuseppe's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	422 Main St	open
Iron Skillet Iron Skillet	Casual dining	American	98 Grove St	open
KRC Transportation and Logistics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Terminal Rd	open
Litzy's Lounge Inc	Bar		614 York Ave	open
Mambo Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	140 Main St	open
McAlpine Pizza & Pub	Casual dining · Bar		319 McAlpine St	open
Metro Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	98 Grove St	open
Romano's Pizza Avoca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	422 Main St	open
Silly Willy Ice Cream Truck	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1107 Grove St	open
Smirks Sports Bar	Bar		1310 Main St	open
Springs Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Chinese	1019 Main St	open
Tipsy Turtle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28 Concorde Dr	open
Twisterz Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	434 Main St	open
Valley Meat and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	629 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	12	6	2	1	3	5	NAICS1997
1999	10	5	2	1	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	10	4	2	1	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	11	5	2	1	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	12	6	4	1	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	10	6	5	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	12	6	5	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	12	6	5	1	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	16	8	6	2	—	6	NAICS2002
2007	15	7	5	2	—	6	NAICS2002
2008	11	6	5	1	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	10	4	3	1	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	12	6	5	1	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	10	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	10	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	10	5	3	2	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	12	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	12	8	4	4	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	4	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18641. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18642	2.7 mi	2	2016
18518	2.7 mi	21	2023
18640	2.8 mi	45	2023
18507	2.9 mi	26	2023
18517	4.1 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.