BMIE Market 18902

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,898 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,079 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,086 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,973 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,377 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$161,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,674 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$668,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18902
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 28–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18902. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.7	89	40%	+35.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.9	84	35%	+29.4
Market Momentum Score	73.8	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,898	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	161,267	97	40%	+38.9
Households (ACS)	8,086	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.5	70	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	22,898	84	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	161,267	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+41.6
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+32.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Italian 3 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 6 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baci Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	2559 Bogarts Tavern Rd	open
Best Taste of India 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	826 N Easton Rd	open
Bread Crumb	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	800 N Easton Rd	open
Bucks County Cookie Company	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	4119 E Swamp Rd	open
Cafe with Soul	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	800 N Easton Rd	open
Chin's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	800 N Easton Rd Ste 8	open
Cross Keys Diner	Casual dining	American	4125 E Swamp Rd	open
Crossroads Bake Shop	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	812 N Easton Rd	open
Dean’s Chicken and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings · American	800 N Easton Rd	open
Devil's Acre Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	5691 Easton Rd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	4399 W Swamp Rd	open
Gardenville General Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	4501 Durham Rd	open
Great Wall - Doylestown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	807 N Easton Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4347 W. Swamp Road	open
Lobster Claw	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 N Easton Rd	open
P.J. Whelihan's Pub + Restaurant P.J. Whelihan's Pub + Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4379 W Swamp Rd	open
Pencilvania	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
Perkins Restaurant & Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	American · Bakery	4319 W Swamp Rd	open
Phi Vietnamese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	4369 W Swamp Rd	open
Pina's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4349 W Swamp Rd	open
Rita’s of Doylestown PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4331 W Swamp Rd	open
Rkr Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4347 W Swamp Rd	open
Rookies Sports Bar And Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1133 N Easton Rd	open
Sandcastle Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		6264 Point Pleasant Pike	open
Sandwich Connection & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3611 Old Easton Rd	open
Spatola's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5175 Cold Spring Creamery Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	4377 W Swamp Rd	open
The Bayou Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		3777 Cold Spring Creamery Rd	open
The Salt Box	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	5840 Easton Rd	open
The Stable at Groveland	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee		open
Uptowne Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	1007 N Easton Rd	open
Vivat Alfa Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3612 Stump Rd	open
Water Wheel Tavern The Water Wheel Wedding & Conference Venue	Casual dining · Bar	American	4424 Old Easton Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2005	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	6	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	8	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	8	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	9	5	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	22	11	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	16	8	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	10	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	11	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	24	11	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	24	11	7	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	26	13	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	30	15	11	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	24	12	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18902. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18913	2.6 mi	2	2016
18912	3.2 mi	4	2023
18923	3.6 mi	1	2015
18901	4.4 mi	70	2023
18933	4.6 mi	1	2016
18947	4.9 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.