BMIE Market 18947

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,381 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±295 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,172 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,323 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$140,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,479 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$615,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,057 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18947
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+233.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18947. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.5	77	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.9	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	31.1	31	25%	+7.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,477	64	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	140,783	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	2,381	64	20%	+12.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	6,477	64	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	140,783	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-23.1	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
An Enchanted Cake by Jeanne Rapacki	Bakery	Bakery	5543 Geddes Way	open
BNI Doylestown	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	5902 Easton Rd	open
Bucks County Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		31 Appletree Ln	open
Cactus Grill cactus grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7200 Easton Rd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5843 Easton Rd	open
DAGs BAR and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		7349 Easton Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6784 Easton Rd	open
Desiato Hard Cider and Distilled Spirits has closed permanently	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		522 E Dark Hollow Rd	open
Desiato Vineyards Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		522 E Dark Hollow Rd	open
Dominick's Pizzeria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	5780 Easton Rd	open
Fat Badger Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5118 Applebutter Rd	open
Groveland Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5960 Easton Rd	open
Hewn Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		31 Appletree Ln	open
Historic Piper Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		PA-413	open
Lubertos Bakery & Deli Inc	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	5477 Durham Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	5857 Easton Rd	open
New Spatola's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6002 Easton Rd	open
Plumstead Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5978 Easton Rd	open
Southern Pines Flower Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5361 Curley Hill Road	open
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf	Coffee shop	Coffee	6132 Autumn Ct	open
The Coffee Scoop, LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5841 Bradshaw Rd	open
The Hub Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5978 Easton Rd	open
The Lucky Cupcake Company	Bakery	Bakery	6011 Kellers Church Rd	open
The Oak's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6705 Easton Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	4	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	4	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	13	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18947. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18950	2.8 mi	2	2016
18933	4.4 mi	1	2016
18942	4.4 mi	6	2023
18913	4.8 mi	2	2016
18902	4.9 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.