BMIE Market 18936

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	91 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$284,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18936
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	32,500.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18936. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.5	48	40%	+19.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.9	52	35%	+18.2
Market Momentum Score	79.2	79	25%	+19.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	296	15	40%	+6.0
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	91	13	20%	+2.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	506.8	1	25%	+0.1
Population (ACS)	296	15	20%	+3.0
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.4	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	36.4	56	20%	+11.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Japanese 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amber Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	411 Doylestown Rd	open
Bennigan’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	678 Bethlehem Pike	open
Boca Del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	411 Doylestown Rd Ste J2	open
Bull Restaurant & Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	770 Horsham Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	794 Bethlehem Pike	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	803 B Horsham Road	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	738 Bethlehem Pike	open
First Watch First Watch	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	740 Bethlehem Pike	open
Five Points Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	411 Doylestown Rd	open
Hibachi Grill Buffet LLC	Buffet	Asian · Japanese	675 Bethlehem Pike	open
Indian Grill	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Bakery	969 Bethlehem Pike	open
Lee's Hoagie House	Other	Sandwiches	411 Doylestown Rd	open
Michael's Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	709 Bethlehem Pike	open
OOKA Restaurant Bar . Sushi .Hibachi OOKA Montgomeryville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	764 Bethlehem Pike	open
Pencadergroup Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	411 Doylestown Rd # 128	open
Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	776 Bethlehem Pike	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	411 Doylestown Rd	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	750 Horsham Rd	open
Rita’s of Montgomeryville PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
The Warehouse	Bar		506 Stump Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1010 Bethlehem Pike	open
Wing Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	408 Doylestown Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	6	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	4	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	5	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	4	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	3	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	4	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	5	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	4	—	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	4	—	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	5	—	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	7	3	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18936. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19454	0.8 mi	67	2023
19436	2.0 mi	1	2016
19002	2.8 mi	47	2023
19477	2.9 mi	10	2023
18915	3.5 mi	5	2023
19437	3.6 mi	1	2016
19446	4.0 mi	84	2023
18914	4.4 mi	28	2023
18932	4.6 mi	1	2016
18976	4.7 mi	45	2023
19044	4.8 mi	42	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.