BMIE Market 19477

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	52 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	146 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	17 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	54.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19477
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1,095.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	9 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	8 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	7 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19477. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 9 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	8.4	8	40%	+3.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	6.7	7	35%	+2.3
Market Momentum Score	12	12	25%	+3.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 8 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	136	8	40%	+5.5
Households (ACS)	52	9	20%	+2.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 7 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	35%	+4.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	735.3	0	25%	+0.1
Population (ACS)	136	8	20%	+2.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-23.1	12	50%	+6.0
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	30%	+3.1
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 2 · Italian 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	909 Sumneytown Pike	open
Drafting Room Tap Room & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	900 Bethlehem Pike	open
Il Giardino Italian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	907 N Bethlehem Pike	open
Mina Cucina Rustica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	805 N. Bethlehem Pike	open
Miraku Japanese Restauran	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1121 Bethlehem Pike	open
Pancheros Mexican Grill Pancheros Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1105 N Bethlehem Pike Suite F	open
Pancheros Mexican Grill - Spring House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1105 N Bethlehem Pike Ste F	open
Spring House Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1111 N Bethlehem Pike	open
Springhouse Pizza, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1121 Bethlehem Pike	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1103 N Bethlehem Pike	open
Strategic Research Solutions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1121 Bethlehem Pike	open
Surah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Korean	1121 N Bethlehem Pike	open
Tony Roni's Spring House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1121 Bethlehem Pike	open
Y&k Enterprises, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1121 Bethlehem Pike Ste 80	open
Curiosity Doughnuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1111 N Bethlehem Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	9	8	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	10	9	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	13	11	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	9	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	12	9	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	18	11	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	13	7	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	14	8	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	9	1	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	16	11	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	14	10	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	14	10	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19477. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19002	1.1 mi	47	2023
19437	1.3 mi	1	2016
19436	1.4 mi	1	2016
19454	2.9 mi	67	2023
18936	2.9 mi	15	2023
19422	3.0 mi	40	2023
19034	3.8 mi	16	2023
19044	4.4 mi	42	2023
19025	4.7 mi	21	2023
19446	4.8 mi	84	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.