BMIE Market 18944

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,570 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,479 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,262 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$130,997 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$426,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 18944
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+105.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 33–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 18944. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.3	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.5	72	35%	+25.4
Market Momentum Score	72.3	72	25%	+18.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,570	87	40%	+34.8
Median household income (ACS)	130,997	93	40%	+37.3
Households (ACS)	10,056	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.7	62	25%	+15.4
Population (ACS)	27,570	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	130,997	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	105.9	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

American 9 · Dessert 9 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Italian 7 · Bakery 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 11 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 6 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aunt Nancy's Nut Brittles	Bakery	Bakery	1011 Morgan Ln	open
Aviator Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1333 Elephant Rd	open
Bishop Estate Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2730 Hilltown Pike	open
Bravo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	212 W Walnut St	open
Bucks County Biscotti Co.	Bakery	Bakery	10 W. Creamery Rd. Box 241	open
C & C Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	609 W Market St	open
Cafe Avocado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	519 W Walnut St	open
Cardinal Winery Perkasie	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		101 N 5th St	open
Casale Di Maggio Sicilian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1167 Dublin Pike	open
Castillo's Restaurant & Pizza Pub	Bar	Pizza · American	1100 Souderton Rd	open
Country Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1007 PA-313	open
Crossroads Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		2004 Hilltown Pike	open
Cugini's Italian Market Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1167 Dublin Pike # A	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	200 Constitution Ave Box 174 200 Constitution Ave Box 174	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1145 N 5th Street	open
Down to Earth Café	Café	Coffee	1141 N 5th St	open
Dunkin Donuts / Baskin Robbins	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	230 Route 313	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1301 N 5th St	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	230 Rte 313 1	open
E-Claire's	Bakery	Bakery	601-643 W Market St	open
Ferment on Market Street	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		534 W Market St	open
Free Will Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		410 E Walnut St	open
Ginger Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1000 E Walnut St	open
Haasis Gluten Free Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls	316 W Walnut St	open
Hawkeye's Country Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1100 Route 113	open
Hickory Stick Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	811 Telegraph Rd	open
Hickory Stick Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7N N 7th St	open
Maize Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	519 W Walnut St	open
Manhattan Bagel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		499 Blooming Glen Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	503 Constitution Ave	open
Mystic Ways Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		510 W Walnut St	open
Olde Towne Restaurant & Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		518 W Walnut St	open
Original Dominick's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	230 N Dublin Pike	open
Papa's Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	101 N 5th St	open
Pasqualina's Italian Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	1259 Souderton Rd	open
Peking Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	525 Constitution Ave	open
Perkasie Patchwork Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	320 W Chestnut St	open
Perkasie Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	615 W Market St	open
Philly Philly Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	1147 N 5th St	open
Pizza Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2301 N 5th St	open
Pomodorino Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	527 Constitution Ave	open
R&t Birney Perkasie Lp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		503 Constitution Ave	open
Rams Pint House & Rooftop Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		606 W Chestnut St	open
Rise And Grind Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	1 N 7th St	open
Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert	7 N 7th St	open
Rock Ridge	Café	Coffee	3115 Ridge Rd Uppr Bucks	open
Sapori Italian Restaurant And Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1000 E Walnut St	open
Sheung Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1135 N 5th St	open
Slide Ruler Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		200 Wyckford Dr	open
So Fresh So Green Juice Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1 N 7th St	open
South Perkasie Hotel Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 E Walnut St	open
Steak & Hoagie Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1167 Dublin Pike	open
Stewarts Arch Street Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Coffee shop	Sandwiches · Coffee	621 Arch St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	523 Constitution Ave	open
The Bread Box and Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	Market Street	open
The Perk The Perk	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	501 E Walnut St	open
The Ricca Bar and Porch	Bar		50 Paige Tr	open
The Rockhill Filling Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1710 Ridge Rd	open
Tijuana Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	230 PA-313	open
Tijuana Tacos Perkasie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	230 Route 313	open
Training for Warriors Doylestown	Restaurant (service type not stated)		431 Deep Run Rd	open
Upper Reach Meadery	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom		410 E Walnut St	open
Van Lieus Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		211 W Walnut St	open
Wudder Ice Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 N 7th St	open
Yia Yia’s Baklava	Dessert	Dessert	543 Constitution Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	14	8	6	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	17	10	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	19	18	11	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	19	11	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	20	20	9	9	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	8	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	8	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	22	9	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	23	23	8	12	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	30	30	11	14	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	28	10	16	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	30	29	10	16	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	26	10	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	32	30	13	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	32	31	13	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	32	30	14	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	32	30	14	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	27	13	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	10	15	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	31	28	11	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	30	12	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	31	12	12	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	34	30	11	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	36	32	12	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	40	35	15	14	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	39	35	12	16	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 18944. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18917	2.5 mi	8	2023
18962	4.1 mi	1	2016
18923	4.5 mi	1	2015
18927	5.0 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.