BMIE Market 19054

Bucks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,518 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,586 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,437 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,564 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,713 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,068 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$357,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19054
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19054. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.9	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.7	74	35%	+25.8
Market Momentum Score	46.6	47	25%	+11.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,518	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	104,713	84	40%	+33.5
Households (ACS)	6,586	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.0	80	25%	+20.1
Population (ACS)	17,518	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	104,713	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	7.7	38	20%	+7.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 5 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service		147 Levittown Pkwy	open
Ariana's Pizzeria & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	230 Levittown Pkwy	open
Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Levittown Pkwy	open
Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Levittown Pkwy	open
Bandbox Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	8807 New Falls Rd	open
Bandbox tavern and pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8811 New Falls Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	8575 New Falls Rd	open
Capellini's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9078 Mill Creek Rd	open
Cone Heads Ice Cream Dairy	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8012 Mill Creek Pkwy	open
DeLorenzo's The Burg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8919 New Falls Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8621 New Falls Rd	open
JoJo's Ice Cream and Water Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8801 New Falls Rd	open
Keystone Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	8010 Mill Creek Pkwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	165 Levittown Pkwy	open
Mizu Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	8800 New Falls Rd	open
Parkway Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8016 Mill Creek Pkwy	open
Pasquale's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9078 Mill Creek Rd	open
Piazza's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	20 Penn Valley Rd	open
Rita’s of Levittown PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	180 Levittown Pkwy	open
The Crown Hookah Lounge	Bar		8728 New Falls Rd	open
The Five Four Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		8919 New Falls Rd	open
Trenton Road Take Out	Bar		1024 Trenton Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service		8333 Us 13	open
Pat's Pizza & Bistro Levittown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	8630 New Falls Rd	closed
Scappa Brick Oven Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8919 New Falls Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	2	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	10	3	4	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	10	3	4	3	3	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	4	5	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	4	5	5	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	2	6	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	5	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	13	5	5	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	3	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	16	3	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	19	17	5	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	3	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	16	5	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	4	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19054. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19030	1.2 mi	34	2023
19055	1.8 mi	17	2023
19057	3.0 mi	28	2023
08518	3.9 mi	5	2023
19056	3.9 mi	27	2023
08611	4.1 mi	49	2023
08608	4.3 mi	22	2023
19007	4.3 mi	48	2023
08554	4.4 mi	3	2023
19067	4.7 mi	78	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.