BMIE Market 19301
Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,814 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±837 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,984 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,402 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,765 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $167,348 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,574 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,907 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $550,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,967 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19301 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 45.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -25.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -13.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19301. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.2 | 79 | 40% | +31.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43.1 | 43 | 35% | +15.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 11.7 | 12 | 25% | +2.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,814 | 67 | 40% | +26.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 167,348 | 98 | 40% | +39.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,984 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -25.9 | 11 | 35% | +3.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 25.6 | 26 | 25% | +6.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,814 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 167,348 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20 | 13 | 50% | +6.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -25.9 | 11 | 30% | +3.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -28.6 | 10 | 20% | +2.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (55)
By cuisine
Coffee 14 · Dessert 7 · American 6 · Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Pizza 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Mexican 2 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Café 10 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Fast casual 4 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashys Burger & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 82 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Atlanta Bread Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 235 W Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Basil Bistro and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 522 King Rd | open | |
| Baxter's American Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 14 Paoli Shopping Ctr | open |
| Beijing Duck House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1776 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Blue Bird Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2 Paoli Pike | open |
| Cafe POM | Café | Coffee · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 19 Paoli Plz | open |
| Cakeposer | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 43 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Chengdu Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 82 E Lancaster Ave # C5 | open | |
| China Wok Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 22 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Cup Of Dreams Coffee And Tea | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5 Paoli Plz | open |
| Devon Donut & Bagel Company Paoli | Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 111 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Devon Road Made | Bakery | Bakery | 60 Devon Rd | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 20 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 49 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| EatNic | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 231 W Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 27 Paoli Shopping Ctr | open |
| El Limon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 15 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Elegance Bakery Cafe & Catering Elegance Cafè jazz club | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast | 15 Paoli Shopping Center | open |
| Goodness Bowls Goodness Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 5 Paoli Plaza | open |
| Great American Pub Paoli/malvern | Casual dining · Bar | 516 King Rd | open | |
| It's A Grind Coffee House | Coffee shop | Coffee | 63 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Jake's Frozen Custard | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers | 31 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Le Saigon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Chinese · Asian | 82 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| M & M Dim Sum & HK BBQ Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1776 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Main Line Tavern State & Main | Casual dining · Bar | American | 516 E King Rd | open |
| Mr. Wish Paoli | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 1776 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Nick Filet | Quick service | 111 E Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Non Non Japanese Kitchen Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 W Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Nudy's Cafe Nudy's Cafes | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 31 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Original Bravo Pizza Paoli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 82 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Our Deli & Cafe | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 41 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Pizzeria Uno Chicago Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1676 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Poke Bros Poke Bros. Polaris | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 82 E Lancaster Ave Ste A-7 | open |
| Poseidon Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 128 Paoli Pike | open |
| PrimoHoagies PrimoHoagies | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 11 Paoli Plz | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1776 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Rita’s of Paoli PA Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Saladworks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 231 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Santucci's Original Square Pizza Santucci's Original Square Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1776 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Sassano's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21 Plank Ave Ste 220 | open | |
| Skinny Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 35 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Spatola's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 32 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 39 Leopard Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 123 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| Sushi Nami | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 35 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| The Olive Tree - Paoli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | 231 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| The Salad Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 235 W Lancaster Ave | open |
| TJ's Restaurant & Drinkery | Casual dining · Bar | American | 35 Paoli Plz | open |
| Trattoria San Nicola | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mexican · European | 4 Manor Rd | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee | 82 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Twisted Mango | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 220 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Whirled Peace Frozen Yogurt | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 111 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Yogorino | Dessert | Dessert | 233 W Lancaster Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 31 | 29 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 31 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 34 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 34 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 35 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 29 | 27 | 8 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 25 | 9 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |