BMIE Market 19312
Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,283 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,449 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±359 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,539 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,507 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $204,384 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $855,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50,860 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19312 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +47.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 24 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19312. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.6 | 84 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.1 | 48 | 35% | +16.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 28.1 | 28 | 25% | +7.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,283 | 74 | 40% | +29.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 204,384 | 99 | 40% | +39.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,449 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 35% | +5.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.8 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,283 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 204,384 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -6.7 | 21 | 50% | +10.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 30% | +5.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 47.4 | 62 | 20% | +12.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (65)
By cuisine
Pizza 9 · American 7 · Asian 7 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Italian 7 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Chinese 4 · Steakhouse 3 · Breakfast 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Bakery 7 · Bar 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Other 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Main Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | American | 660 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Alfredo Italian Byo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 668 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| All About Coconut | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 254 Swedesford Rd 2nd Floor Unit F11 | open |
| Aneu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 575 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Asian Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 312 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Berwyn Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1026 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Berwyn Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 625 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Berwyn/Paoli | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | open | |
| Bravissimo Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 558 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Caffè della Volpe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 312 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Candelarios Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Pizza | 802 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Casey's Pour House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 543 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Chinnar Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 416 W Swedesford Rd | open |
| Clays Creative Corner Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 700 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Cosi | Other | Sandwiches | 424 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Dim Sum Mania | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 300 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Donut House | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 312 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Em J's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 814 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Emj's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 814 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Estrada Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 558 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Frankie's Fellini Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Coffee | 678 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Handel's Homemade Ice Cream and Yogurt Handel's Homemade Ice Cream - York, PA | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 573 E Lancaster Ave | open |
| Hibachi of Valley Forge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 240 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Hippie Chic Cakes, LLC- Cakes by Cara | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| Issho Berwyn Asian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 402 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Jemilymeals Llc Emjs Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 814 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Kung Fu Tea Kung Fu Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Asian | 558 Lancaster Ave | open |
| La Cabra Brewing La Cabra Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | Latin American (other) | 642 Lancaster Ave | open |
| La Cocina Candelario's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Pizza | 802 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Laine's Gluten Free Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1018 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Mama Viet - Vietnamese Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 254 W Swedesford Rd | open |
| Mango Mango Dessert Mango Mango Dessert- Plano Tx | Dessert | Dessert | 416 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Mario's Pizza | Quick service | Pizza | 802 Lancaster Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 260 Swedesford Rd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 1257 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| McKenzie Brew House | Brewery / taproom | 324 Swedesford Rd | open | |
| Mywei Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1091 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Nectar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1091 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Neopolitan Delicatessen & Restaurant | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1022 Lancaster Ave | open |
| New World Enterprise Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 564 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Nudy's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 120 W Swedesford Rd | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 555 Old Lancaster Rd | open |
| Parlor Doughnuts Parlor Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 602 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Phil's Famous Pizza & Steaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Steakhouse · Italian | 521 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Phil's Famous Pizza and Steaks | Bar | Pizza · Steakhouse | 123 Lancaster Ave | open |
| philly cheesesteaks & luigis pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches · Pizza · American | 676 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Pho Wayne | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 180 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Quincy's Original Lobster Rolls - Berwyn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 414 W Swedesford Rd | open |
| Settantatre Pasta & Provisions | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 802 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 150 W Swedesford Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 500 West Swedesford Road, Unit #12 | open |
| Sweet Jazmines Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 15 Bridge Ave | open |
| Thai Orchid | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 556 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Tio Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 680 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Tiramisu | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 720 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Trattoria San Nicola | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 668 Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Triton Management Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100 Cassatt Rd | open | |
| Upper Main Line Truck Co. Truck 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 23 Bridge Ave | open | |
| V Empanadas | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 389 W Lancaster Ave | open | |
| Veekoo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Chinese · Asian | 564 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Vibe Haus - Indian Plates and Taps | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | Indian | 402 Swedesford Rd | open |
| Westlakes Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1055 Westlakes Dr | open |
| Will's and Bill's Brewery and Restaurant | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 324 Swedesford Rd | open | |
| Win Hao | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 680 Lancaster Ave | open |
| Primo Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 1205 Westlakes Dr Ste 100a | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 22 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 27 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 36 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 36 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 28 | 14 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 40 | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 37 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 35 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 37 | 31 | 15 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 30 | 17 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 30 | 16 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 28 | 16 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 31 | 25 | 15 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 26 | 15 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 28 | 17 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |