BMIE Market 19317
Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,864 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±766 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,044 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±282 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,530 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,873 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $174,408 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,937 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $624,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,895 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 21.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19317 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +4.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +43.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +64.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +109.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 24–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19317. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.2 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.1 | 70 | 35% | +24.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 68.5 | 69 | 25% | +17.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,864 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 174,408 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,044 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 43.8 | 79 | 35% | +27.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 21.2 | 34 | 25% | +8.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,864 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 174,408 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 61 | 50% | +30.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 43.8 | 79 | 30% | +23.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 64.3 | 72 | 20% | +14.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
American 8 · Coffee 8 · Italian 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 9 · Café 8 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2SP Tap House & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 95 Wilmington West Chester Pike | open | |
| Agave Mexican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1620 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Alexander's | Bar · Quick service | 323 Kennett Pike | open | |
| Antica Italian Restaurant & Wine Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1623 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Arugula Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 275 Wilmington W Chester Pike | open | |
| Aunt Kim's Gluten Free Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 100 Ridge Rd | open |
| Bawarchi Indian Cuisine - Chadds Ford, PA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 136 Painters Xing | open |
| Bistro On The Brandywine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 1623 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Brandywine Prime | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1617 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Brass Ladle Bistro | Casual dining | 14 Ridge Rd | open | |
| Capos Pork and Sausage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 16 Wilmington W Chester Pike | open |
| Chadds Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1609 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Chadds Ford Coffee House | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1620 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Chadds Ford Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1400 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Chaddsford Winery Chaddsford Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 632 Baltimore Pike | open | |
| Delco 202 Cigar | Bar | 3911 Pyle Rd | open | |
| Delco's Original Steaks & Hoagies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Sandwiches · American | 152 Painters Crossing | open |
| Double Decker Pizza Double Decker Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 220 Wilmington W Chester Pike | open |
| D’ Vintage Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Latin American (other) · Coffee | 880 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Fabio’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 257 Wilmington West Chester Pike | open |
| Farmer's Road | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 210A Painters Crossing | open |
| Fellini Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1620 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Firebirds Wood Fired Grill Firebirds Wood Fired Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 91 Wilmington Pike | open |
| Flying Monkey Sweets & Eats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 16 Wilmington West Chester Pike | open |
| Greet Unionville Chadds Ford | Café | Coffee | open | |
| Hanks Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 411 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Hanks Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 102 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Ice Training Center Inc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 144 Fairville Rd | open | |
| Junto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Ridge Rd | open | |
| JunXion Cafe & Market | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 880 Baltimore Pike | open |
| La Mia Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 330 Kennett Pike #111 | open |
| Lucy B Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 423 Baltimore Pike | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1 Christy Dr | open |
| Mushrooms Cafe | Café | Coffee | 880 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Nudy's Cafe Nudy's Cafes | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 240 Painters Crossing | open |
| Orion Pizzeria & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 329 Kennett Pike | open |
| OsoSweet Bakery Cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 1609 Baltimore Pike Suite 500 | open |
| Osteria Ama | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 100 Ridge Rd Ste 24 | open |
| Penns Woods Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 124 Beaver Valley Rd | open | |
| Queen Cuisine Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 100 Ridge Rd | open |
| Queen Of Pa Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Ridge Rd Ste 41 | open | |
| Quiznos | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1201 Baltimore Pike | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 220 Wilmington W Chester Pike | open |
| Rita’s of Chadds Ford PA Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Sencer Appraisal And Associates | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1620 Baltimore Pike # 882 | open | |
| Shree Donuts Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 257 Wilmington W Chester Pike | open | |
| Special Teas Tea Room | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 100 Ridge Rd | open |
| Ten Gallon Hat Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 455 Old Baltimore Pike | open | |
| TGI Fridays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | # 200 Painters Crossing Vlg | open |
| The Brown Derby | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1470 Baltimore Pike | open | |
| The Gables at Chadds Ford | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 423 Baltimore Pike | open |
| The Table - Calvary Chapel of Delaware County | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar | Coffee | 500 Brandywine Dr | open |
| Special Teas Tea Room | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 100 Ridge Rd Ste 37 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 8 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 8 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 21 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 22 | 15 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 21 | 13 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 21 | 14 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 22 | 16 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 23 | 16 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |