BMIE Market 19390
Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,546 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±908 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±373 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,425 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,933 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $128,858 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,526 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $417,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,259 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 29.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19390 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +29.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +46.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 27 (range 24–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.89) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19390. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.89, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.1 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.1 | 72 | 35% | +25.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 82.6 | 83 | 25% | +20.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,546 | 74 | 40% | +29.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,858 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,267 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 46.7 | 79 | 35% | +27.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.5 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,546 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 128,858 | 93 | 20% | +18.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 29.4 | 83 | 50% | +41.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 46.7 | 79 | 30% | +23.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 120 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
Coffee 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · American 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 7 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 27 Jenners Village Ctr | open |
| Blondes and Brewnettes | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 10 Exchange Pl | open | |
| Brother's Pizza & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7 Exchange Pl | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 827 W Baltimore Pike | open |
| Casa Carmen Farm and Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 49 Camino Wy | open | |
| Chatham Diner | Casual dining | American | 3842 Gap Newport Pike | open |
| China Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 119 Rosehill Ave | open |
| Corner Cafe | Café | American · Coffee · Breakfast | 827A W Baltimore Pike | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 851 W Baltimore Pike | open |
| Dave’s Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 300 E Baltimore Pike | open |
| Dulce Monarca LLC | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 302 E Baltimore Pike | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 390 Vineyard Way | open |
| Fajitas Y Salsas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 55 Jenners Village | open |
| Kham Family Llc/hissho Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 849 W Baltimore Pike | open |
| Kitchen 45 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 849 W Baltimore Pike | open | |
| Kreutz Creek Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 553 S Guernsey Rd | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 890 W Baltimore Pike | open |
| La Chispa Creamery | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 302 E Baltimore Pike | open |
| Marrone Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 101 Prospect Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 859 W Baltimore Pike | open |
| Mi Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 55 Jenners Village Ctr | open |
| Panadería Estrella | Bakery | Bakery | 123 Rosehill Ave | open |
| Penn Brew Station | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 627 Old Baltimore Pike | open | |
| Phoenix Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 304 E Baltimore Pike | open |
| Restaurant Y Panaderia Phoenix | Bakery | Bakery | 310 E Baltimore Pike Ste 304 | open |
| Saladworks Saladworks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 31 Jenners Village Ctr | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 35 Jenners Village Court Shoppes At Jenner's Village | open |
| Stubborn Goat Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 122 Rosehill Ave | open | |
| The Acadian Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 553 S Guernsey Rd | open | |
| The Perfect Brew Coffee House & Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 421 Woodview Rd | open |
| The Station Ice-Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 100 Railroad Ave | open |
| Twelves Grill & Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar | Coffee | 10 Exchange Pl | open |
| Two Stones Pub Jennersville Two Stones Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 49 Jenners Village | open | |
| West Grove Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 108 Rosehill Ave | open |
| Zen modern Asian kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 829 W Baltimore Pike | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |