BMIE Market 19473

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,259 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,451 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±594 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,726 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,872 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$138,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,992 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$476,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19473
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+10.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19473. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.0	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.1	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	25.9	26	25%	+6.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,259	79	40%	+31.6
Median household income (ACS)	138,819	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	6,457	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.4	87	25%	+21.7
Population (ACS)	17,259	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	138,819	95	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.4	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

Italian 8 · Pizza 7 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
'feine - Skippack	Coffee shop	Coffee	4280 Township Line Rd	open
3 Sisters Rum	Winery / distillery / taproom		843 Spring Mt Rd	open
A Taste of Heaven Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	524 Main St	open
Ashley's Café	Café	Coffee	4280 Township Line Rd	open
Bears Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Zieglerville Rd	open
Bronco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4049 W Skippaack Pike	open
Club Hudnut	Bar		2120 Hudnut Rd	open
Daybreak Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	4280 Township Line Rd	open
Don's Salads	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4461 Township Line Rd	open
El Limon El Limon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	4101 Skippack Pike	open
Gourmet Seafood & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4101 Skippack Pike, Building A	open
Imprint Beer Co. - Beer Garden	Bar		4335 Skippack Pike	open
Johnny's Pizza and Pasta Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	5 Main St	open
Kouyateas Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		71 Salem Rd	open
Lee's Asian Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1134 Gravel Pike	open
Limerick Italian Kitchen & Company	Casual dining	Italian · Pizza · American	397 Swamp Pike	open
Liu Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4270 Township Line Rd	open
Mailen's Mexican food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1005 Gravel Pike	open
Mauricio's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	800 Main St	open
Moccia's Train Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	1004 Gravel Pike	open
Nitt Witt Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar			open
Olce Pizza Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	99 Skippack Pike	open
Ortino's Restaurant and Take-Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	800 Main St	open
Palermos Pizza Express	Quick service	Pizza	4027 Skippack Pike	open
Perkiomen Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	800 Main St	open
Raw Replenish Schwenksville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	596 Main St	open
Rita’s of Zieglerville PA Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Scoop Happy	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4114 Skippack Pike	open
Skippack Pizza and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	4038 Skippack Pike	open
Snoozy's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	390 PA-73	open
Spring Mt Hotel	Bar · Casual dining		3 Main St	open
Stogeez Mobile Cigar Lounge	Bar		4076 Skippack Pike	open
The Dutch Cottage Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1264 Bridge Rd	open
Versante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	150 E Park Ave	open
Villa Caterina Cucina Italiana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	474 Swamp Pike	open
Villa Caterina Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		474 SWAMP PKE, Floor 1	open
Winetober Fest	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar · Bakery	Bakery	4038 Skippack Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	9	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	15	8	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	4	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19473. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19492	1.9 mi	3	2023
19468	4.3 mi	70	2023
18074	4.5 mi	2	2016
19474	4.6 mi	13	2023
19438	5.0 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.