BMIE Market 19474

Montgomery County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	114 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	733 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	356 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	68.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$353,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19474
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	150.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+160.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	25 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	13 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	26 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19474. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	13.1	13	40%	+5.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	26.2	26	35%	+9.2
Market Momentum Score	40.6	41	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 13 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	222	12	40%	+8.1
Households (ACS)	114	15	20%	+5.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 26 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	585.6	0	25%	+0.2
Population (ACS)	222	12	20%	+3.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	30%	+15.8
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 5 · Italian 5 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · French 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anthony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4274 Township Line Rd	open
Basta Pasta, Cabana Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Pizza	4052 Skippack Pike	open
Black Dog Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Asian	4049 Skippack Pike	open
Brasserie 73	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	4024 Skippack Pike	open
Brothers Kershner Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4119 Skippack Pike	open
Cabbage Cafe	Café	Coffee	4039 Skippack Pike	open
Calypso	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	4042 Skippack Pike	open
Carisma Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4042 Skippack Pike	open
El Vago Mexican Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4000 SKIPPACK Pike	open
Euro Delights	Bakery	Bakery	4034 Skippack Pike	open
Justin's Carriage House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	3911 Skippack Pike	open
Koi Sushi Bar Koi Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4044 Skippack Pike	open
Mistral Mistral	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	4046 Skippack Pike	open
Parc Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · Italian · European	4067 Skippack Pike	open
Roadhouse Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4022 Skippack Pike	open
Skippack Sweet Spot	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	4019 Skippack Pike	open
Skippack Village Italian Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	4101 Skippack Pike	open
Sweet Rora’s	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	4019 Skippack Pike	open
The Coffee Grinder	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3999 Skippack Pike	open
The Confident Baker	Bakery	Bakery	4039 Skippack Pike	open
The Farm House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1146 Stump Hall Rd	open
TimeOut Skippack	Bar · Casual dining		4022 Skippack Pike	open
Vallini Ristorante & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4027 Skippack Pike	open
Village Wine Cellar	Bar		4038 Skippack Pike	open
Well Fed	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	4006 Skippack Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	6	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	7	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	7	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	14	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	15	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19474. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19426	3.0 mi	55	2023
19438	3.2 mi	31	2023
19490	3.3 mi	4	2020
19473	4.6 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.