BMIE Market 19475

Chester County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,283 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,496 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,146 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,010 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$399,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19475
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19475. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.8	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.4	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	51.8	52	25%	+13.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,298	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	97,146	79	40%	+31.6
Households (ACS)	4,850	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	76	25%	+19.1
Population (ACS)	12,298	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	97,146	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 4 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Caribbean 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Brazilian 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bella Trattoria	Bar	Italian · Pizza	366 Ridge Rd	open
Birdies Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 N Main St	open
Caribbean Wave Healthy Life	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		3395 Schuylkill Rd	open
Center City Steaks &pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Pizza · American	47 E Bridge St	open
Desi Swaad	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	10 Riverside Dr	open
El Rincon Criollo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	13 Riverside Dr	open
El Volcan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	625 NEW St	open
Franks Guy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	7 Riverside Dr	open
Gallagher's Country Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	3639 Schuylkill Rd	open
Inn At Spring City Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		88 N Main St	open
Love To Sprinkle Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	105 N Main St	open
Mayflower Spring City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	53 E Bridge St	open
Morning Glory Gourmet	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5 Riverside Dr	open
Palma Breeze	Quick service	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	13 Riverside Dr	open
Punch Buggy Brewing Spring City	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		77 N Main St	open
Spring City Hotel	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		88 N Main St	open
Spring-Ford Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	55 E Bridge St	open
Stone Barn Cellars Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3050 Pottstown Pike	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	3395 Schuylkill Rd	open
Td Alfredos Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	625 New St	open
The Gem - Spring City Speakeasy	Bar		66 N Main St	open
Three Brothers Grill Three Brothers Grill Harleysville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	60 N Main St	open
Tuned Up Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		135 N Main St	open
Tuned Up Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		135 N Main St	open
Vito's NY Style Pizza and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3563 Schuylkill Rd	open
W & L Chinese Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		53 E Bridge St	open
Wilke's Pizzeria & Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	15 Riverside Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	9	7	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	1	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19475. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19457	2.5 mi	1	2016
19442	2.9 mi	3	2016
19468	4.3 mi	70	2023
19465	4.7 mi	26	2023
19460	4.8 mi	86	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.