BMIE Market 19510

Berks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,010 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,079 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,639 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,733 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$117,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,892 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±464 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$290,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,133 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19510
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+550.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19510. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.3	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.8	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	75.3	75	25%	+18.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,010	67	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	117,719	90	40%	+35.8
Households (ACS)	3,079	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.2	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	8,010	67	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	117,719	90	20%	+17.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cristina's Family Restaurant and Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	500 Hoch Rd	open
Delicious Super Duper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8472 Allentown Pike	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	8537 Allentown Pike	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	8448 Allentown Pike	open
Fiore's Chill-n-Grill Cafe	Café	Coffee · Burgers · American	833 Park Rd	open
G&J Pizzeria and Bakery	Bakery	Pizza · Italian · Bakery	504 Main St	open
Gmg Bakery Products	Bakery	Bakery	1100 Park Rd	open
Hometown Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		504 Main St	open
Kmk Properties Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		404 Main St	open
Maidencreek Banquet Hall	Bar		1060 Park Rd	open
Massimo's Takeout Pizza & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 Anna Ave	open
Nice Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	850 Golden Dr	open
Plaza Azteca Plaza Azteca, Methuen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	100 Anna Ave	open
Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert	8472 Allentown Pike	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	850 Golden Dr	open
Sazón Caribbean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	504 Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	850 Golden Drive Suite 7	open
The Coliseum Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8565 Allentown Pike	open
Third Rail Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	404 Main St	open
UpDog Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	850 Golden Dr Ste 6	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	4	1	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	5	—	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	7	4	1	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	12	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	7	5	1	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19510. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19560	2.9 mi	19	2023
19522	3.4 mi	9	2023
19605	4.7 mi	52	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.