BMIE Market 19707

New Castle County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,376 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,686 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,448 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,483 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,066 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$172,696 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,973 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$556,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,078 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19707
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+77.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 30–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19707. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.4	86	40%	+34.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.8	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	62.2	62	25%	+15.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,376	79	40%	+31.6
Median household income (ACS)	172,696	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	6,448	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10.3	54	35%	+19.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.4	42	25%	+10.4
Population (ACS)	17,376	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	172,696	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	10.3	54	30%	+16.3
20-year restaurant growth	60	71	20%	+14.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (56)

By cuisine

American 11 · Pizza 10 · Coffee 7 · Italian 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 10 · Café 6 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Fat Guys American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	701 Ace Memorial Dr	open
Aradas Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		700 Lantana Dr	open
Back Burner To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	425 Hockessin Cor	open
Bbq Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6949 Lancaster Pike	open
Braum's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7465 Lancaster Pike Ste D	open
Capriotti's Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		120 Lantana Dr	open
Capriotti's Sandwich Shop Capriotti's Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	120 Lantana Dr	open
Casa Puebla Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		711 Ace Memorial Dr	open
Casapulla's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Italian · Sandwiches	1216 Old Lancaster Pike	open
Catman Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1336 Old Lancaster Pike	open
Corner Cove Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	410 Hockessin Cor	open
Crownery Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	228 Lantana Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7465 Lancaster Pike	open
Drip Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	144 Lantana Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	7454 Lancaster Pike	open
Famous Rivera Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7313 Lancaster Pike	open
Famous Tom's Tavern	Bar		7288 Lancaster Pike Ste 3b	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	136 Lantana Dr	open
Friendly's Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American · Burgers	80 Lantana Dr	open
Golden City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7288 Lancaster Pike # 4	open
HAC Cafe	Café	Coffee	100 Fitness Way	open
Harper's Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	228 Lantana Dr	open
La Tonalteca La Tonalteca - Scranton,PA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Vegetarian · Mexican	700 Lantana Dr	open
Lettie's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1318 Old Lancaster Pike	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5345 Limestone Rd	open
Liz Marden Gourmet Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1252 Old Lancaster Pike	open
Luigi's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	723 Ace Memorial Dr	open
Mexican Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7288 Lancaster Pike	open
New Dragon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	707 Ace Memorial Dr	open
Okura Japanese Cuisine Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	703 Ace Memorial Dr	open
Padi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	704 Lantana Dr	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	222 Lantana Dr	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7313 Lancaster Pike	open
Prima's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	7454 Lancaster Pike	open
Prima's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6580 Lancaster Pike	open
Quinn's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	7288 Lancaster Pike	open
Redfire Grill Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	400 Lantana Dr	open
Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	7313 Lancaster Pike	open
Rita’s of Hockessin DE Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar	Dessert		open
Roll Out Sushi	Catering	Japanese · Sushi	534 Erickson Ave	open
Six Paupers Tavern & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	7465 Lancaster Pike	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6280 Limestone Rd	open
Stone Mill Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7313 Lancaster Pike	open
Sunny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7288 Lancaster Pike	open
The Crownery Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		228 Lantana Dr	open
The House of William and Merry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	1336 Old Lancaster Pike	open
The Perfect Cup Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	7460 Lancaster Pike	open
The Tonga Lounge	Bar		831 Morris Rd	open
The Well Coffeehouse and Marketplace	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6949 Lancaster Pike	open
Throwbacks Sports Lounge	Bar		721 Ace Memorial Dr	open
Tony Luke's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	128 Lantana Dr	open
Two Cousin's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7460 Lancaster Pike	open
Two Stones Pub Hockessin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Lantana Dr	open
Woodside Farm Creamery Woodside Farm Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1310 Little Baltimore Rd	open
Yorklyn Pool & Tennis Club	Bar		389 Lower Snuff Mill Rd	open
George & Sons' Seafood Market And Oyster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1216 Old Lancaster Pike	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	21	20	9	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	19	11	5	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	20	20	9	7	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	20	11	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	9	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	25	23	11	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	23	21	9	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	23	22	11	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	26	21	8	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	26	22	8	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	28	26	11	14	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	32	30	13	16	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	31	29	15	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	31	29	15	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	30	28	15	10	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	32	29	17	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	17	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	34	30	16	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	30	16	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	29	16	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	29	16	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	31	17	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	29	16	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	35	32	16	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19707. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19736	2.2 mi	1	2015
19808	3.4 mi	90	2023
19807	3.8 mi	15	2023
19374	4.7 mi	4	2023
19735	4.8 mi	1	1997

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.