BMIE Market 19967

Sussex County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,376 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±192 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,301 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,097 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	64.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±98 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$483,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,813 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19967
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	141.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+800.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19967. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.9	62	40%	+24.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.3	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	91.1	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,376	48	40%	+19.2
Median household income (ACS)	98,301	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	1,267	54	20%	+10.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	37.9	14	25%	+3.6
Population (ACS)	2,376	48	20%	+9.6
Median household income (ACS)	98,301	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	30%	+26.7
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Brazilian 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agape Creamery	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	35287 Atlantic Ave	open
Coastal Breeze Plaza	Quick service	Seafood · American	35308 Atlantic Ave	open
Driftwood Desserts	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	35308 Atlantic Ave	open
Flip Flops Beach Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	35272 Atlantic Ave	open
Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200C Atlantic Ave	open
Fractured Prune	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	210 Town Center Dr	open
Hooked Up Ale House & Raw Bar	Bar		38069 Town Center Dr #20	open
Hunan Royale Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	38069 Town Center Dr #5	open
Indian River Restaurants Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		38069 Town Center Dr	open
Kristina’s Kitchen, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast · American	35581 Atlantic Ave	open
La Tonalteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35553 Atlantic Ave	open
Melissa's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35507 Atlantic Ave	open
Millville, DE - Fox's Pizza Fox's Pizza Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 Atlantic Avenue, Millville, DE 19967	open
Morning Buns Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast	35715 Atlantic Ave	open
Perucci's Classic Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	35507 Atlantic Ave	open
Red Daisy Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	35581 Atlantic Ave	open
Shaka Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35308 Atlantic Ave	open
Shore Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Atlantic Ave	open
Shore Pizza Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	200 Atlantic Ave	open
Sirlaes Braziian Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian	38069 Town Center Dr Unit 19	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	38069 Town Center Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	216 Atlantic Ave	open
Surf Siren:Kitchen + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35308 Atlantic Ave	open
Taco Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	35831 Atlantic Ave.	open
The Salted Rim Margarita Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · American	35553 Atlantic Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2006	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19967. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19970	1.6 mi	15	2023
19930	2.9 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.