BMIE Market 19970
Sussex County, Delaware · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±724 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,170 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,934 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $94,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 63.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $526,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19970 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +87.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 9–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19970. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Delaware and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 57, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 72.3 | 72 | 40% | +28.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47.1 | 47 | 35% | +16.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 62.2 | 62 | 25% | +15.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,524 | 68 | 40% | +27.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,103 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,046 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.6 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,524 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,103 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25 | 81 | 50% | +40.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (42)
By cuisine
American 12 · Seafood 6 · Italian 4 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Vegetarian 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Casapulla's Subs & Steaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 535 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Ali & EMO's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 37630 Mimosa St | open | |
| Amato's Pizza Amato's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 68 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Bethany Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 38450 Hickman Rd | open | |
| Big Fish Grill Ocean View | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 30415 Cedar Neck Rd | open |
| Bonkey's Ice Cream & Snoballs Bonkey's Ice Cream & Snoballs | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 44 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Camillo's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 38450 Hickman Rd | open |
| CEDAR land + sea kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 30234 Cedar Neck Rd | open |
| Charlie K's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 95 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Drifting Grounds Coffee House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 117 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Fin & claw | Bar | Seafood | 42a Atlantic Ave | open |
| FLAVOR | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 31810 Good Earth Ln | open |
| Hocker's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 30244 Cedar Neck Rd | open |
| Honey's Fresh Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 27 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Indian River Inlet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | Indian River Inlet | open |
| Joy QK | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | Live Love Beach Homes at Patterson-Schwartz Real Estate, 53 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Juicebox Juicebox | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3 Town Rd | open |
| Luminous 38 | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1610 Buchanan St NW | open |
| Magnolias Seafood Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 30415 Cedar Neck Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | 35010 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Munchies Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 30447 Cedar Neck Rd #4 | open |
| Murray's Pub | Bar | 38157 Greenport Ln | open | |
| Nesk De Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29 Atlantic Ave Ste F | open | |
| Northeast Seafood Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 29 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Ocean View Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 85 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Oceanview Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 42 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 29 Atlantic Ave C | open |
| Quiznos | Quick service | 216 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| Refreshing Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 777 Oakwood Rd NW | open |
| Royal Zephyr Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 27 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Summer Hill Developments Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| The Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7 Clubhouse Dr | open |
| The Cafe on 26 | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 84 Atlantic Ave | open |
| The Clubhouse At Baywood Greens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian | 1 Clubhouse Way | open |
| The Den Bar & Grill at Bear Trap Dunes | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Clubhouse Dr | open | |
| The Polar Express Bethany, De | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 27 Atlantic Ave | open | |
| The Redneck Riviera | Bar | The Redneck Riveria | open | |
| The Salted Rim Margarita Bar & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 35553 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Tom & Terry's Seafood Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Seafood · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 30447 Cedar Neck Rd | open |
| Treats On The Go | Dessert | Dessert | 34902 Atlantic Ave | open |
| Vivid Just | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 812 Cedar St | open |
| Win DR | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 6 West Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 12 | 12 | 8 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 13 | 12 | 8 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 14 | 13 | 9 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 14 | 10 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 16 | 15 | 11 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |