BMIE Market 20607

Prince George's County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,653 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,231 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,802 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,504 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,172 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±819 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$559,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,011 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20607
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+175.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.0	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.3	73	35%	+25.7
Market Momentum Score	68.1	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,750	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	151,427	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	4,231	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	35%	+18.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8	80	25%	+20.1
Population (ACS)	13,750	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	151,427	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	30%	+16.2
20-year restaurant growth	175	90	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 6 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Accokeek Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	15790 Livingston Rd	open
America's Best Wings America's Best Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	7045 Berry Rd	open
B and G Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		14602 Livingston Rd	open
B and J Carry Out	Quick service	American · BBQ	15805 Livingston Rd	open
BBU Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
Beijing Express Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15901 MD-210	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	15785 Livingston Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee	15793 Livingston Rd	open
Eastern Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15789 Livingston Rd #102	open
Flamehouse wings & burgers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	15790 Livingston Rd	open
Homegrown Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	2311 Bryan Point Rd	open
Jerry's Subs & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Pizza	15797 Livingston Rd, 15797 Livingston Rd	open
Libra Lounge	Bar			open
Manna Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	7091 Berry Rd	open
Moe's Crabs & Seafood Carryout.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood	710 Accokeek Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7045 Berry Rd	open
STC Soul Joint-Commissary Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	15638 Livingston Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	15789 Livingston Rd #112	open
Wayyytoosmooth	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7091 Berry Rd Unit 3	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7099 Berry Road	open
Wing Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7045 Berry Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	—	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	1	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	1	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	2	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	2	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	2	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	3	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20607. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20616	3.9 mi	7	2023
20603	4.1 mi	74	2023
22308	4.3 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.