BMIE Market 20714

Anne Arundel County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,525 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±889 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,773 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,345 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,179 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,076 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,889 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,000 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20714
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+233.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+900.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20714. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.0	65	40%	+26.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.2	65	35%	+22.8
Market Momentum Score	89.3	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,525	59	40%	+23.5
Median household income (ACS)	91,099	74	40%	+29.7
Households (ACS)	1,773	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.1	32	25%	+8.1
Population (ACS)	4,525	59	20%	+11.8
Median household income (ACS)	91,099	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	233.3	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

Seafood 5 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Dessert 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Bar 8 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bay Wine and Spirits	Bar		9100 Bay Ave	open
Blondie's Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	8905 Chesapeake Ave	open
Chesapeake Market & Deli Chesapeake Grille & Deli - Dunkirk	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	7150 Lake Shore Dr	open
City Sliders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Steakhouse · American	9200 Chesapeake Ave	open
Cold Penguin Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9100 Bay Ave	open
Confections by Cupcake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3705 6th St	open
Dairy Freeze	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	8831 Chesapeake Ave	open
Holy Cow Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8831 Chesapeake Ave	open
Hook & Vine - Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	4114 7th St	open
Jack & Sons Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3828 8th St	open
Jango's Frozen Treats	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	9100 Bay Ave	open
Ketch 22	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	7153 Lake Shore Dr	open
Mangos Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	7149 Lake Shore Dr	open
Mexico North Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)		open
Neptune's Seafood Pub	Bar	Seafood · American	8800 Chesapeake Ave	open
Plaza Mexico Plaza Mexico Delaware	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	808 Bay Front Ave	open
Plaza Mexico Plaza Mexico Delaware	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9200 Bay Ave	open
R&R Public House	Bar		3604 4th St	open
Sweet Sue's Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	9132 Bay Ave	open
The Bakist	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	9124 Bay Ave	open
The Yard at North Beach	Bar		8900 Chesapeake Ave	open
Thursday's Bar & Grill	Bar		9200 Bay Ave	open
Tsunami Tommy’s Backyard Grill	Food truck		7082 Myrtle Ave	open
Unauthorized Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		9132 Bay Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	5	3	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	5	—	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 20714. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
20732	3.4 mi	12	2023
20689	3.7 mi	3	2022
20758	3.7 mi	1	2016
20779	4.3 mi	3	2021
20736	4.6 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.