BMIE Market 20871
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 30,182 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,011 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,130 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,295 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $177,523 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $668,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,747 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 22.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20871 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +183.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +1,600.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 25–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 93 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20871. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.7 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 93.4 | 93 | 35% | +32.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 80.2 | 80 | 25% | +20.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 30,182 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 177,523 | 98 | 40% | +39.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,347 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 93 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 183.3 | 96 | 35% | +33.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.6 | 89 | 25% | +22.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 30,182 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 177,523 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 6.3 | 63 | 50% | +31.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 183.3 | 96 | 30% | +28.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 1,600 | 100 | 20% | +20.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (48)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · American 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Coffee shop 7 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asian Chao Oriental Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | I-270 | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1896 Urbana Pike Ste 7 | open |
| Bennigan's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | British / Irish pub food | 23315 Frederick Rd | open |
| Bokados | Quick service | Burgers · Hot dogs | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos | Quick service | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open | |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 22704 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Chef B's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Premium Outlets, 22705 Clarksburg Rd Unit TT9 | open |
| China Spring | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 23209 Stringtown Rd | open |
| Clarks Lodge | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 12011 Snowden Farm Pkwy | open |
| Clarksburg Beer Wine Grille | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 23335 Frederick Rd | open |
| Clarksburg Carpet Cleaners | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 22700 Sweet Shrub Dr | open |
| Clarksburg Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 23329 Frederick Rd | open |
| Day And Night Cereal Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Dōp Pizza | Food truck | open | ||
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 22610 Newcut Rd Suite E-1A | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1896 Urbana Pike | open |
| Gateway Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 22610 Gateway Center Dr | open |
| Grillmarx Steakhouse & Raw Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 12011 Snowden Farm Pkwy | open |
| Guacamole Tex Mex Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 22705 Clarksburg Rd Ste 854 | open |
| Hyattstown Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 25901 Frederick Rd | open |
| Johnny Rockets | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| K2 Cafe and Kitchen Clarksburg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 23329 Frederick Rd | open | |
| Kung Fu Tea Kung Fu Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| La Chiclayana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | open | |
| La Pote-ria | Quick service | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open | |
| Laurienzo Restaurants Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1896 Urbana Pike Ste 1 | open | |
| Live Edge Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 25201 Peach Tree Rd | open | |
| Magic Tea Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22705 Clarksburg Rd Unit 866 | open | |
| Maki Of Japan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Manhattan Pizza - Clarksburg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 23221 Stringtown Rd | open |
| Mayorga Coffee | Café | Coffee | 23207 Springtown Rs | open |
| Monster Jars Milkshake | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Ncj Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12051 Chestnut Branch Way | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 22610 Newcut Rd Ste E1a | open |
| Peet's Coffee and Tea | Bakery | Bakery | 22700 Sweet Shrub Dr | open |
| Red Bowl Of Clarksburg Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12051 Chestnut Branch Way Ste C4 | open | |
| Red Bowl Sushi and Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 12051 Chestnut Branch Way | open |
| Rise Pies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Silvia's Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 12101 Elm Forest Ct | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 22705 Clarksburg Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 22700 Sweet Shrub Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 22700 Sweet Shrub Dr | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 12011 Snowden Farm Pkwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 23237 Stringtown Road | open |
| The Icecream Yard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 22820 Frederick Rd | open |
| Villa Maya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | Village Center, 12051 Chestnut Branch Way | open |
| Electronic Systems Services, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22515 Gateway Center Dr | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 4 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 4 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 6 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 25 | 8 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |