BMIE Market 20872
Montgomery County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,983 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,049 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±329 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,104 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,575 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $141,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,809 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $504,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,061 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 20872 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -22.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -19.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +41.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +21.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 10 (range 6–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.9 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 20872. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.9 | 83 | 40% | +33.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.0 | 55 | 35% | +19.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 22.1 | 22 | 25% | +5.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,983 | 76 | 40% | +30.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 141,050 | 95 | 40% | +38.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,659 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.1 | 14 | 35% | +5.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.2 | 64 | 25% | +16.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,983 | 76 | 20% | +15.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 141,050 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -22.7 | 12 | 50% | +6.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.1 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 41.7 | 59 | 20% | +11.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (38)
By cuisine
Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · American 4 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Quick service 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Bar 4 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 28712 Kemptown Rd | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 9803 Main St | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 9807 Main St | open |
| Brazil Gourmet Pizzeria & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Latin American (other) | 9870 Main St | open |
| Btg Services Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9805 Main St Ste 206 | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9815 Main St Ste 104 Suite 104 | open |
| Crabby John's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 26120 Woodfield Rd | open |
| Dipped by Courtney | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 11400 Mountain View Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 26437 Ridge Road | open |
| Hng Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9876 Main St | open | |
| Hornets Nest Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 9876 Main St | open |
| Jeovani's Pizzeria-Damascus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 26027 Ridge Rd | open |
| Jimmie Cone | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 26420 Ridge Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 26141 Ridge Road | open |
| Ledo Pizza Damascus, MD Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9805 Main St | open |
| Little Far East II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 26043 Ridge Rd | open |
| Maggi's Pizza and Subs | Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 26315 Ridge Rd | open |
| Main Street Pollo | Quick service | Mexican | 9871 Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 26429 Ridge Rd | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 26121 Ridge Rd | open |
| Peruvian Chicken & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian | 26400 Ridge Rd | open |
| Red Rooster Red Rooster | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 10005 Damascus Blvd | open |
| Ricoton | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 9871 Main St | open |
| Rita’s of 26323 Ridge Rd-Damascus MD Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Say Vrai Gluten-Free | Bakery | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 9899 Main St | open |
| Sky Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 9805 Main St | open |
| Solution MF | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 440 Florida Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 26141 Ridge Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9807 Main St | open |
| Stone Silo Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 28800 Kemptown Rd | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 9870 Main St Ste B | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 9815 Main St Ste 105 | open |
| Tasty 68 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 26131 Ridge Rd | open |
| That Smoothie Place | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 9815 Main St Ste 106 | open |
| The Music Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches | 26528 Ridge Rd | open |
| Tokyo Fire | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 9811 Main St #101 | open |
| Tom and Ray's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9805 Main St Ste 206 | open |
| Tonys BBQ | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 28800 Kemptown Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |