BMIE Market 21001
Harford County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,168 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±491 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,487 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,942 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $83,238 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $285,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,677 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 30.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21001 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +18.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +73.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 47 (range 42–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21001. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.7 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.9 | 67 | 35% | +23.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 74.1 | 74 | 25% | +18.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,168 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,238 | 66 | 40% | +26.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,204 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28.6 | 70 | 35% | +24.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.6 | 47 | 25% | +11.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,168 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,238 | 66 | 20% | +13.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 18.4 | 76 | 50% | +38.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28.6 | 70 | 30% | +21.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 73.1 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (110)
By cuisine
American 25 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 11 · Burgers 8 · Dessert 7 · Italian 7 · Bakery 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Asian 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Chinese 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · Mexican 3 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Korean 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Quick service 23 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Fast casual 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Empanadas, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 416 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Abc Virginia Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20 S Philadelphia Blvd | open | |
| Aberdeen Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 527 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Aberdeen Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · American | 105 E Bel Air Ave | open |
| Alina's Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 310 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| America's Best Wings America's Best Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 951 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 991 Beards Hill Road | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 993 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Beechtree Restaurant and Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 811 S Stepney Rd | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 949 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 949 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Blue Crab Cowboy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 705 Mahan Rd | open | |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1024 Beards Hill Rd. | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1020-B Beards Hill Rd Suite B | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1006 Beards Hill Road | open |
| Bushmill Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 834 Old Philadelphia Rd Ste A | open | |
| Cafe Michelle | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 6 N Parke St | open |
| Carsin's Run Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3501 Churchville Rd | open |
| Casa Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1111 Beards Hill Rd Ste 200 | open |
| Chaps Pit Beef Aberdeen Chaps Pit Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 1013 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1001 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 3738 Churchville Rd, Ste F | open |
| Currito Currito | Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Seafood · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · American | I-95 | open |
| Dana's MadHouse Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 85 Baker St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 306 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | Maryland Turnpike I-95 (MM82) Maryland House Travel Plaza | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 645 S. Philadelphia Blvd In Walmart | open |
| Eagle's Nest | Bar | 8 Aberdeen Shopping Plz # A | open | |
| Fast Eddie's Pit Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 770 W Bel Air Ave | open | |
| Ferraro Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1501 Perryman Rd | open | |
| Frank's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 37 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Georgia's Carry out | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Greek · Sandwiches · Burgers | 1111 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Gk Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 17 Aberdeen Shopping Plz | open | |
| Golden Corral Golden Corral Buffet & Grill | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 706 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Golden Corral | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 991 Beards Hill Rd | open | |
| Great American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1050 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Grumpy's Bar and Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 820 W Bel Air Ave | open | |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 980 Hospitality Way | open |
| Island Ice Snowballs | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 109 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Japan House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 984 Beards Hill Rd | open | |
| Jerry's Subs & Pizza Jerry's Subs & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | Maryland House Travel, I-95 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 983 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Johnny's Poki Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Sushi · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 939 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Johnson.Bloomery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery | 1428 Old Stepney Rd | open |
| Just A Bit Of Soul Carryout and Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African · American | 821 Old Philadelphia Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1009 Beards Hill Road | open |
| Kimchi Joy - Korean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 17 Aberdeen Shopping Plz | open |
| KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot-Orlando,FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean · Asian | 1014 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| La Tolteca | Mexican La Tolteca Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 984 Hospitality Way | open |
| Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1013 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Lee's Hunan Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 971 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 1020 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Live Long eat plants | Café | Vegetarian · Coffee · American | 27 Howard St | open |
| Mamie's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 939 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Maryland House Tourist Information | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Interstate 95 | open | |
| Mattes Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 921 Old Philadelphia Rd | open |
| McCormick & Co McCormick For Chefs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 400 Old Post Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 744 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 330 S Philadelphia Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 999 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Mfp Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 939 Beards Hill Rd | open | |
| Miss Sai Gon Pho & Boba | Juice, smoothie, tea | Vietnamese · Tea / bubble tea · Sandwiches | 1013 Beards Hill Rd Unit 201B | open |
| MrBeast Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 1113 Beards Hill Rd Ste E | open |
| Nathan's Famous Nathan's Famous Malaysia | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | open | |
| Northside Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 18 Howard St | open |
| Oversea Buffet and Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 8C Aberdeen Shopping Plz | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 1022 Beards Hill Road | open |
| Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 764 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Pats Select Pizza Pat's Pizzeria Lewes | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Italian | 220 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Peony Garden Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 23 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 644 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Pool N' Pints | Casual dining · Bar | 8 Aberdeen Shopping Plz | open | |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 989 Middleton Rd | open |
| Prime Source Building Products | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 600 Hickory Dr | open | |
| Prost German Restaurant Aberdeen, Md | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 102 N Rogers St | open |
| Ray's Caribbean American Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 1436 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 772 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Rita’s of Aberdeen MD Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Santini's Italian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 951 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Say Delicious | Bakery | Bakery | 19 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Scoops Corner Cafe & Deli | Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 34 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1010 H Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 999 Middelton Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | I-95 | open |
| Steak Co Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1040 Hardees Dr | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1020 Beards Hill Rd Ste C | open |
| Super Chicken Rico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 690 S Philadelphia Blvd #300 | open |
| Supermarket Campos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 8 Aberdeen Shopping Plz C | open |
| Szechuan Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 114 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1002 Beards Hill Road | open |
| TB3 Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 705 S Philadelphia Blvd | open | |
| The All American Steakhouse - Aberdeen The All American Steakhouse Edgewater | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 3720 Churchville Rd | open |
| The Greene Turtle Sports Bar & Grille The Greene Turtle | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1113 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| The Nut Roasters | Dessert | 119 W Bel Air Ave | open | |
| The Olive Tree | Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean · European | 1005 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| The Screaming Bean | Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 3700 Churchville Rd Unit B | open |
| The Trails At Beech Creek Clubhouse | Bar | open | ||
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 3662 Churchville Rd | open |
| Villa Pizza Carryout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6 Aberdeen Shopping Plz | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 645 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Wat U Makin Jamaican | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 23 W Bel Air Ave | open |
| Watchtower Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 22 Howard St | open | |
| Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 82 Mile Marker I-95, Maryland House Travel Plaza | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 987 Beards Hill Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | I-95 John F Kennedy Memorial Hwy | open |
| Wing Paradise | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American | 135 S Philadelphia Blvd | open |
| Briquets Charcoal Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 939 Beards Hill Rd | closed | |
| Collabos Carryout, Llc | Café | Coffee | 6 Aberdeen Shopping Plz | closed |
| Elevation Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4805 JFK Highway I-95, MP #85, MP #85 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 27 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 21 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 33 | 30 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 37 | 34 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 35 | 30 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 27 | 25 | 12 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 17 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 15 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 15 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 37 | 32 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 38 | 35 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 41 | 37 | 14 | 21 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 36 | 14 | 19 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 45 | 40 | 17 | 20 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 43 | 38 | 16 | 19 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 43 | 39 | 11 | 23 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 39 | 35 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 33 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 37 | 11 | 20 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 37 | 11 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 37 | 12 | 20 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 37 | 14 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 37 | 14 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 51 | 42 | 14 | 23 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 54 | 45 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2022 |