BMIE Market 21220

Baltimore County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	42,824 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,544 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	39,199 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,245 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,817 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,567 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,673 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±66 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$300,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21220
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+59.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 48–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21220. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.8	83	40%	+33.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.9	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	58.4	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	42,824	95	40%	+38.0
Median household income (ACS)	81,817	64	40%	+25.8
Households (ACS)	16,544	95	20%	+19.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	42,824	95	20%	+19.0
Median household income (ACS)	81,817	64	20%	+12.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.1	60	50%	+30.2
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (124)

By cuisine

American 21 · Seafood 13 · Coffee 11 · Pizza 11 · Asian 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Dessert 8 · Italian 7 · Chinese 6 · Mexican 6 · BBQ 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Bakery 2 · Filipino 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Indian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 79 · Bar 24 · Quick service 20 · Casual dining 14 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
720 Concourse Circle, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		720 Concourse Cir	open
Alice's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	2909 Eastern Blvd	open
Asian Wok Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	12550 Eastern Ave	open
Bajeko Sekuwa Baltimore	Restaurant (service type not stated)		710 Concourse Cir	open
Baker's Pit Beef	Food truck	BBQ · Sandwiches	2233 Old Eastern Ave	open
Bakers Tavern Inc.	Bar · Casual dining		2233 Old Eastern Ave	open
Bengies-Chase Democratic Club	Bar		12939 Eastern Ave	open
Bill Bateman's Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	610 Compass Rd	open
Bird River Inn	Bar · Casual dining	Seafood	10529 Bird River Rd	open
Blazin Hookah Experience	Bar		113 Beacon Rd	open
Bomberg Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	106 W Kingston Park Ln	open
Bonfire	Bar		601 Bowleys Quarters Rd	open
Boosted Fabrication & Performance Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		52 Earls Rd	open
Bowleys On The Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	800 Chester Rd	open
BQ Tiki bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Briar Point Rd	open
Bruno's Italian Quarters	Bar		800 Bowleys Quarters Rd	open
Bruster's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3009 Eastern Blvd Ste C	open
Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	710 Concourse Cir Ste 110	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	9999 Pulaski Hwy	open
By The Docks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	3321 Eastern Blvd	open
Capt. Jim's Crabs Capt. Jim’s Crabs Middle River	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	102 Carroll Island Rd a	open
Captain's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2843 Eastern Blvd	open
Carson's Creekside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1110 Beech Dr	open
Chase Plaza Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12546 Eastern Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1202 Martin Blvd	open
Chile Peppers Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	162 Carroll Island Rd	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	901 Middle River Rd	open
China Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3007 Eastern Blvd	open
Chinatown Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	126 Carroll Island Rd	open
Coffman's Snack Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2101 Orems Rd	open
Colombian Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	3300 Edwards Ln Suite A	open
Crab Quarters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2909 Eastern Blvd	open
Deli-ish Middle River	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	105 Carroll Island Rd	open
Dipasquale's Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	9600 Pulaski Park Dr Ste 116	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	610 Compass Rd	open
Drippys Vapor	Bar		100 Carroll Island Rd	open
Dunbar Armored	Quick service		11615 Crossroads Cir	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	730 Concourse Circle	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	190 Carroll Island Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	121 Beacon Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	901 Middle River Rd	open
El Piquin Restaurant 2	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	162 Carroll Island Rd	open
El taquito leon 2	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	3217 Eastern Blvd	open
Enjoy A Bowl	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	11531 Wakefield St	open
F.O.P. Lodge 34 Lounge	Bar		730 Wampler Rd	open
G.H.M Halal Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	2929 Eastern Blvd	open
Goding And Goding Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2909 Eastern Blvd	open
Great Juicy Snowballs	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	Eastern Ave	open
Greens Sportsbar	Bar		2201 Eastern Blvd	open
Hip Hop Fish & Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	119 Beacon Rd	open
Icy Delights Icy Delights Middlesex Shopping Center	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2929 Eastern Blvd	open
Jameson's lounge	Bar		6715 Cornell Rd	open
Jerry's Subs & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2333 Eastern Blvd	open
JvJ Bubble Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	3007 Eastern Blvd	open
Kahler Enterprises Incorporated	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12544 Eastern Ave	open
Kelly's Kitchen and Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	12600 Eastern Ave	open
Lee Marie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	132 Carroll Island Rd	open
Little China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2117 Eastern Blvd	open
Long Beach Restaurant & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	818 Bowleys Quarters Rd	open
Looni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2201 Eastern Blvd	open
Lotz of Sweets	Bakery	Bakery		open
Lucky Paw Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		Perry Hall Power Equipment, 9621 Pulaski Hwy	open
LUMPS BBQ	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	722 Wampler Rd	open
Mama Rosa Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · BBQ · Asian	836 Middle River Rd	open
Mama Rosa Grill Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Filipino	9611 Pulaski Hwy	open
Margherita Pizza Margherita's Pizza of Bel Air	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	154 Carroll Island Rd	open
Mary Sue Candies	Dessert	Dessert	1412 Tangier Dr	open
Masala Twist	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	9611 Pulaski Hwy	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2119 Eastern Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3423 Eastern Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1472 Martin Blvd	open
McRuta Halal Mediterranean Grill and Coffee Shop	Quick service	Mediterranean · Halal / kosher	1448-A Martin Blvd	open
Michael's Cafe Michael's Cafe Timonium	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	720 Concourse Cir	open
Middle River Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2230 Old Eastern Ave	open
Middle River Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	901-G, 901 Middle River Rd	open
Mo's Seafood Restaurant White Marsh Mo’s Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	9727 Pulaski Hwy	open
Mom's Korean BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1468 Martin Blvd	open
Montego Bay Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Mustang Pizza & Subs Mustang Pizza & Subs, Dundalk, MD	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	12544 Eastern Ave	open
Mustang Pizza and Subs Mustang Pizza & Subs, Dundalk, MD	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	1414 Fuselage Ave #5	open
Oliver Beach Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	12948 Eastern Ave	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	115 Beacon Road	open
Perry's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2015 Old Orems Rd #4116	open
Pippos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	3229 Eastern Blvd	open
Pisces Crab & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1448 Martin Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1330 Windlass Dr	open
Pmn Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2843 Eastern Blvd	open
Pooles Island Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		11695 Crossroads Cir A	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service		1320 Martin Blvd	open
Potomac Pizza Potomac Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	750 Concourse Cir	open
Puppy Hole II	Bar			open
Pupuseria Genesis	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9026 Pulaski Hwy	open
Pupuseria La Union Food Truck	Food truck		1 Compass Rd	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1470 Martin Blvd	open
Raise the Roost	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11500 Pocomoke Ct	open
Red Lobster White Marsh Red Lobster Brasil	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood		open
Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard	Dessert · Bar	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	162 Carroll Island Rd	open
Rotech	Café	Coffee	11615 Crossroads Cir Ste J	open
S & P Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2105 Eastern Blvd	open
Sakura Teppanyaki Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1366 Martin Blvd	open
Silver Moon Diner Silver Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9605 Pulaski Hwy #1405	open
Skipjack's Crab Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	818 Bowleys Quarters Rd	open
Smokehouse Pit beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3007 Eastern Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1330 Martin Blvd Target Middle Riv # T-1970	open
Steaks Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	806 Cord St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	750 Concourse Circle Suite 101	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3009-A Eastern Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1448A Martin Blvd	open
Sunset Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3408 Red Rose Farm Rd	open
Sunset Cove	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3408 Red Rose Farm Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	28 Middle River Rd.	open
Taj Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Middle Eastern	9610 Pulaski Hwy	open
Tavern in the Quarters	Casual dining · Bar	American	601 Bowleys Quarters Rd	open
Tavern on the Hill	Casual dining · Bar		520 Middle River Rd	open
Tenders & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	105-B Carroll Island Rd	open
Thai Rainbow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	750 Concourse Cir	open
The Landing Strip	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3030 Eastern Blvd	open
Tito’s Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Latin American (other)	105 Carroll Island Rd	open
True Lemon	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	11501 Pocomoke Ct	open
Uncle Ou's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	105 Beacon Rd	open
Vinces Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	610 Compass Rd	open
Zesto Pizza & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	750 Concourse Cir	open
Hopheads Alehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9611 Pulaski Hwy	closed
Pranzi Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Pizza · Chicken / wings	2105 Eastern Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	51	32	—	—	—	19	SIC1987
1995	47	31	—	—	—	16	SIC1987
1996	52	35	—	—	—	17	SIC1987
1997	54	43	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	50	37	16	20	1	11	NAICS1997
1999	46	33	13	19	1	10	NAICS1997
2000	48	36	13	22	1	9	NAICS1997
2001	51	37	13	23	1	10	NAICS1997
2002	45	33	10	23	—	9	NAICS1997
2003	46	34	14	20	—	9	NAICS2002
2004	41	29	10	19	—	9	NAICS2002
2005	51	39	14	25	—	10	NAICS2002
2006	52	40	13	27	—	9	NAICS2002
2007	53	40	16	22	2	9	NAICS2002
2008	59	45	16	26	3	11	NAICS2007
2009	57	45	15	27	3	9	NAICS2007
2010	56	44	13	27	4	9	NAICS2007
2011	58	47	16	28	3	8	NAICS2007
2012	61	50	18	29	3	7	NAICS2012
2013	59	48	17	29	2	7	NAICS2012
2014	57	45	16	27	2	8	NAICS2012
2015	60	47	18	26	3	8	NAICS2012
2016	53	42	16	24	2	7	NAICS2012
2017	54	44	16	26	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	59	49	16	30	3	5	NAICS2017
2019	60	50	18	29	3	5	NAICS2017
2020	58	49	17	29	3	5	NAICS2017
2021	60	51	19	29	3	5	NAICS2017
2022	60	51	20	28	3	6	NAICS2022
2023	62	51	20	27	4	6	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21220. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21162	3.3 mi	11	2023
21221	4.3 mi	53	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.