BMIE Market 21162

Baltimore County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,639 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,559 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,655 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,392 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$157,813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,040 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,203 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$451,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21162
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	35.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21162. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.8	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.2	45	35%	+15.8
Market Momentum Score	19.9	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,639	59	40%	+23.7
Median household income (ACS)	157,813	97	40%	+38.7
Households (ACS)	1,559	57	20%	+11.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.7	29	25%	+7.2
Population (ACS)	4,639	59	20%	+11.8
Median household income (ACS)	157,813	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.4	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 6 · BBQ 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Falls Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	11818 Philadelphia Rd	open
Charcoal Style	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	10907 Pulaski Hwy	open
Double T Diner White Marsh Double T Diner White Marsh	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10741 Pulaski Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11450 Pulaski Hwy	open
Flameworks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	11224 Pulaski Hwy	open
G & A Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11550 Philadelphia Rd #120	open
Green Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11550 Philadelphia Rd	open
Jm Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	11550 Philadelphia Rd Ste 120	open
Kingsville Station	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	5429 Ebenezer Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5250 Campbell Blvd	open
Lagadinos Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10741 Pulaski Hwy	open
Lucky Express II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	11550 Philadelphia Rd Ste 107	open
Mama Rosa Grill White Marsh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino	11244 Pulaski Hwy	open
Papania Pizza, Pasta & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	11244 Pulaski Hwy	open
Parker's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11131 Pulaski Hwy	open
Pie Five Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5209b Campbell Blvd	open
Sizzle Eat Drink Dance	Bar		11445 Pulaski Hwy	open
Stonewall Cafe	Café	Coffee	11175 Pulaski Hwy	open
Taco Love Grill Inc Taco Love Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11550 Philadelphia Rd	open
The Dugout Tavern	Bar		11010 Bird River Grove Rd	open
The Yummery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	11565 Philadelphia Rd B	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	5	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	10	5	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	14	8	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	13	9	5	2	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	5	2	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	12	9	5	2	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	5	3	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	14	6	7	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	15	10	5	4	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	18	13	5	7	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	16	11	5	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	16	11	5	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	18	12	4	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	18	12	5	7	—	5	NAICS2007
2009	17	12	5	7	—	5	NAICS2007
2010	18	13	5	8	—	5	NAICS2007
2011	18	13	5	8	—	5	NAICS2007
2012	18	13	6	7	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	17	12	4	7	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	17	13	4	8	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	15	11	3	7	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	15	12	3	7	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	16	13	5	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 21162. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
21128	2.5 mi	16	2023
21156	2.7 mi	1	2016
21220	3.3 mi	51	2023
21087	4.1 mi	4	2023
21236	4.2 mi	138	2023
21085	4.6 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.