BMIE Market 21229
Baltimore city, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 46,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 19,262 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±681 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 45,213 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 19,681 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $60,047 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,279 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $201,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,307 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21229 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -12.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +9.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +54.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 25–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21229. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 69.7 | 70 | 40% | +27.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51.8 | 52 | 35% | +18.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.0 | 23 | 25% | +5.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 46,679 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,047 | 30 | 40% | +11.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 19,262 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.8 | 17 | 35% | +5.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.3 | 83 | 25% | +20.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 46,679 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,047 | 30 | 20% | +5.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8.1 | 20 | 50% | +10.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.8 | 17 | 30% | +5.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 9.7 | 39 | 20% | +7.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (74)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 13 · Pizza 11 · American 8 · Chicken / wings 7 · Chinese 6 · Dessert 6 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · Seafood 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Caribbean 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · African 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 16 · Dessert 9 · Bar 6 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-1 Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1061 Maiden Choice Ln | open |
| Ambition Applez & Sweet Treatz | Dessert | Dessert | 4100 Frederick Ave | open |
| America's Best Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1062 Maiden Choice Ln | open |
| America's Best Wings & Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 4428 Edmondson Ave | open |
| Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5210 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Asian Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) · Asian | 1015 Leeds Ave | open |
| Bevy's Island Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Sandwiches | 3333 Frederick Ave | open |
| Big Boyz Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 3111 Frederick Ave | open |
| Big TS Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 470 Gwynn Ave | open | |
| BMore Shisha | Bar | 3440 Wilkens Ave | open | |
| BOOM BOOM CRAB CAJUN SEAFOOD & BAR | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5307 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Brown’s Kitchen | Food truck · Delivery-focused | 707 Allendale St | open | |
| Caton's Pizza and Sub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 5220 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Quick service | Sandwiches · Steakhouse | 4622 MD-372 | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 4520 Edmondson Ave | open |
| Chick-fil-A | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 900 Caton Ave | open |
| Chicken & Trout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4013 Frederick Ave | open | |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5303 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| China House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4111 Frederick Ave | open |
| China Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 4642 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Cold Summer Snowballs | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1065 Maiden Choice Ln | open |
| Collins Carryout & Mini Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4043 Frederick Ave | open |
| Cupsey Cakesy Dee | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | West Baltimore/Edmondale | open |
| Double Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1015 Leeds Ave | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5303 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 3701 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Edmondson Deli And Carry-out | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3700 Edmondson Ave | open |
| Everything rolled | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 908 Leeds Ave | open |
| Frederick Station Saloon | Bar | 4019 Frederick Ave | open | |
| Gail Industries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4300 Leeds Ave Ste 1 | open |
| Golden Gate Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1056 Maiden Choice Ln | open | |
| Great Taste Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3444 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Iampieri's Bar | Bar | 5320 Edmondson Ave | open | |
| Island Vybz Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3364 Wilkens Ave | open |
| JNS Dinners | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 121 S Monastery Ave | open | |
| Kibby's Restaurant and Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3450 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Kimmy's Restaurant & Carry Out | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4426 Edmondson Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4122 Frederick Ave | open |
| Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4636 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Malam Ishaku Suya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 20 S Caton Ave | open |
| Mary Sue Candies | Dessert | 707 S Caton Ave | open | |
| Mazaj | Bar | 3446 Wilkens Ave | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3619 Wilkins Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3249 Frederick Ave | open |
| Mystic Hookah | Bar | 145 S Collins Ave | open | |
| Naz's Halal Food - Wilkens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 4644 Wilkens Ave | open |
| New China Style Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5210 Baltimore National Pike Ste D | open | |
| New York Fried Chicken Hip Hop Fish and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5230 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Nick's Crab Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3720 Southwestern Blvd | open |
| Northbend Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 510 North Bend Rd Ste 512 | open | |
| Over The Rainbow Snowballs | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3900 Frederick Ave | open |
| Pig Pickers Memphis Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5230 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Pizza Hub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4015 Frederick Ave | open |
| Pizza Villa & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 902 Leeds Ave | open |
| Pizzaland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3400 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Dessert | Dessert · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4408 Edmondson Ave | open |
| Red Hot Seafood & Poke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4650 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Rheb's Homemade Candies | Dessert | Dessert | 3352 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Rice Paul Milli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4629 Coleherne Rd | open |
| Royal Carryout | Quick service | American · Chicken / wings | 4578 Edmondson Ave | open |
| Saint Agnes Foundation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 900 S Caton Ave | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 4622 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5311 Baltimore National Pike | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches · Pizza | 900 S Caton Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4628 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Sugar Mama’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 4114 Frederick Ave | open |
| Sweeties Down South Deli and Carryout | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3049 W Baltimore St | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3815 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Today's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 510 North Bend Rd | open |
| Urban Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 4650 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Wilkens Pizza And Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4634 Wilkens Ave | open |
| Wings To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5223 Baltimore National Pike | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4584 Edmondson Ave | closed |
| V P Donuts | Dessert | Dessert | 5457 Baltimore National Pike | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 22 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 19 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 22 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 29 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 33 | 28 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 27 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 28 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 29 | 6 | 23 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 33 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 35 | 31 | 6 | 24 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 32 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 37 | 35 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 44 | 42 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 38 | 5 | 30 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 39 | 36 | 5 | 28 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 37 | 5 | 28 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 30 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 38 | 36 | 3 | 31 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 43 | 38 | 2 | 34 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 33 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 34 | 3 | 29 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 35 | 3 | 29 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 37 | 2 | 32 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 39 | 4 | 32 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 30 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 39 | 33 | 3 | 27 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 31 | — | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 33 | 4 | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 39 | 33 | 5 | 26 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 41 | 34 | 4 | 28 | — | — | NAICS2022 |