BMIE Market 21216
Baltimore city, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,426 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,909 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±876 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 32,071 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,934 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $42,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,909 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,176 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $147,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21216 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 10 (range 8–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21216. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 56.3 | 56 | 40% | +22.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 46.8 | 47 | 35% | +16.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 12.4 | 12 | 25% | +3.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,426 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 42,031 | 7 | 40% | +3.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,307 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -26.7 | 11 | 35% | +3.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 3.7 | 96 | 25% | +23.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,426 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 42,031 | 7 | 20% | +1.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -21.4 | 12 | 50% | +6.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -26.7 | 11 | 30% | +3.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -15.4 | 15 | 20% | +3.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (41)
By cuisine
Chicken / wings 6 · American 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Pizza 4 · Chinese 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 12 · Bar 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aje delicacy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 3316 Ayrdale Ave | open |
| B & B Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 2906 Garrison Blvd | open |
| Black Waves Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2502 Roslyn Ave | open | |
| Cakes By Cynthia | Bakery | Bakery | 1602 Bloomingdale Rd | open |
| China Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3421 Clifton Ave | open |
| Cocktails At The Mill | Bar | 2636 W North Ave | open | |
| Coldbru | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2500 W North Ave | open |
| Cookie Kingdom Gourmet Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3423 Mondawmin Ave | open |
| D & B Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 2636 W North Ave | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Breakfast | 2500 W North Ave | open |
| Garrison Lounge | Bar | 3403 Clifton Ave | open | |
| Golden Dragon Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3127 W North Ave | open | |
| Goldies Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 3137 W North Ave | open |
| Good Fortune | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese | 2875 W Lanvale St #4623 | open |
| J & J Best Wing and Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3117 W North Ave | open |
| Jerry's Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Poplar Grove St | open | |
| JNS4KIDZ DINNERS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1801 Bloomingdale Rd | open | |
| K. K. Carry-Out | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1300 Poplar Grove St | open | |
| Kennedy Fried Chicken Kennedy Chicken & Burger | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3317 Garrison Blvd | open |
| King Wang Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3421 Clifton Ave | open | |
| Koko Grill & Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3316 Ayrdale Ave | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 630 N Franklintown Rd | open | |
| Lake Trout Lake Trout 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 3420 Clifton Ave | open |
| Lky Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2906 Garrison Blvd Ste C | open | |
| Lucky's Pizza, Subs & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1333 Poplar Grove Street | open |
| Mamas Carryout Inc | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1825 N Smallwood St | open |
| Mi Tierra carryout and grocery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Latin American (other) | 3308 Garrison Blvd | open |
| Mike's Carryout | Quick service | American · Sandwiches | 3124 W North Ave | open |
| Navarro's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Halal / kosher · American | 2300 Garrison Blvd | open |
| New York Fried Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3141 W North Ave | open |
| Pak Man Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 2300 W North Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3411 Clifton Ave | open |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3101 W North Ave | open |
| Salaam Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2018 Denison St | open |
| Special P Bar and Lounge | Bar | 2738 Baker St | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2500 W North Ave | open |
| Subway | Quick service | 3411 Clifton Ave | open | |
| Supreme Oasis Bakery & Deli | Bakery | Bakery | 3223 Garrison Blvd | open |
| The Hustler Experienece | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 705 Wilbron Ave | open | |
| The Lounge - Coppin State College | Bar | 2500 W North Ave | open | |
| Zion Kitchen Baltimore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3127 W North Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 13 | 2 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 9 | — | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 15 | 12 | — | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 14 | — | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 12 | — | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 14 | 13 | — | 13 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 16 | 13 | — | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 17 | 15 | — | 15 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 14 | — | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 17 | 15 | — | 15 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 17 | 15 | — | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 16 | 14 | — | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 12 | — | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 13 | — | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 13 | — | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 11 | — | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 14 | 11 | — | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |