BMIE Market 21210
Baltimore city, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,292 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,949 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $112,428 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,958 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $547,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,644 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21210 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +88.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -15.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21210. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.3 | 80 | 40% | +32.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.0 | 56 | 35% | +19.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 33.1 | 33 | 25% | +8.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,134 | 76 | 40% | +30.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 112,428 | 88 | 40% | +35.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,202 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 21 | 35% | +7.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.0 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,134 | 76 | 20% | +15.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 112,428 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 22 | 50% | +11.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5.6 | 21 | 30% | +6.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 88.9 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (38)
By cuisine
Coffee 8 · Bakery 5 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Asian 3 · European 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Café 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonso's | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 415 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Around the World | Food truck · Quick service | 4501 N Charles St | open | |
| Baltimore Country Club Baltimore Country Club | Bar | 4400 Roland Ave | open | |
| Belvedere Towers Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Indian | 1190 W Northern Pkwy Suite # 127 | open |
| Brasserie Tatin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 105 W 39th St | open |
| Cece's Roland Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | European | 10 Village Square | open |
| Chow Mein Charlie | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 508 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Crossroads Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5100 Falls Rd | open | |
| Cypriana Baltimore Cypriana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 105 W 39th St | open |
| Donna's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 5100 Falls Rd | open |
| Easy Like Sunday | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 66 Village Square | open |
| Eddie's of Roland Park Eddie's of Roland Park | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5113 Roland Ave | open |
| Hopkins Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 110 W 39th St | open |
| Iggy's Market | Café | Coffee · Italian | 100 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Johnny's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4800 Roland Ave | open |
| Kitsch | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 500 W University Pkwy | open |
| La Famiglia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 105 W 39th St | open |
| Luna Oaxaca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1 Village Square Ste 195 | open |
| Maya, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 413 W Cold Spring Ln | open | |
| Miss Shirley's Cafe Miss Shirley's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 513 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| My Desserts Diva® | Dessert | Dessert | 5100 Falls Rd # 62 | open |
| Namaste Baltimore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 413 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Nine Tailed Fox | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3 Village Square | open |
| One World Cafe | Café | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 100 W University Pkwy | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4535 falls rd | open |
| Petit Louis Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European | 4800 Roland Ave | open |
| Roland Park Bagels & Sandwiches | Bakery | Bakery | 500 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| S'Ghetti Eddie's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 410 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Sams Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 500 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 400 W. Cold Spring Lane | open |
| Sodam Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 200 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5129 Roland Ave | open |
| Stone Mill Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5127 Roland Ave | open |
| Subway Restaurants | Other | Sandwiches | 503 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| The Evergreen Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 501 W Cold Spring Ln | open |
| The Lounge - College of Notre Dame of Maryland | Bar | 4701 N Charles St | open | |
| Village Square Cafe | Café | Coffee | 66 Village Sq | open |
| WOW Café Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Chicken / wings · Bakery | 4501 N Charles St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 22 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |