BMIE Market 21214
Baltimore city, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±495 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,564 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,981 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $86,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,249 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $259,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21214 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 18–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21214. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.2 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.5 | 56 | 35% | +19.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 22.7 | 23 | 25% | +5.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,092 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 86,366 | 70 | 40% | +27.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,466 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -9.1 | 19 | 35% | +6.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.5 | 74 | 25% | +18.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,092 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 86,366 | 70 | 20% | +13.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 50% | +7.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -9.1 | 19 | 30% | +5.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (59)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · BBQ 3 · Chinese 3 · Asian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Café 6 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al's crab shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4219 Harcourt Rd | open |
| Alabama BBQ Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 4311 Harford Rd | open |
| Alexander's Tavern Soha | Casual dining · Bar | 4801 Harford Rd H-1 | open | |
| Angel's Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 6620 Harford Rd | open |
| Animal Boy | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 4801 Harford Rd | open |
| Architects Recording Studio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4325 Harford Rd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5401 Harford Rd | open |
| Beavers Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3305 Rosekemp Ave Apt.1 | open | |
| Big Bad Wolf's House of Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 5713 Harford Rd | open |
| Bluebirdbakeryinc | Bakery | Bakery | 4719 Harford Rd | open |
| Brannan's Pub | Bar | 5516 Harford Rd | open | |
| Buddy's Pizza Buddy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5515 Harford Rd | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6630 Tramore Road | open |
| Chameleon Cafe | Café · Bar | Coffee · American | 4341 Harford Rd | open |
| Char'd City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Pizza | 5402 Harford Rd | open |
| China Ex Carryout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2327 E Northern Pkwy | open |
| Clementine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5402 Harford Rd | open |
| Cloudy Donut Co. | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 4311 Harford Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 5401 Harford Rd | open |
| East Perry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 6000 Harford Rd | open |
| Edelweiss Bakery and Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 6000 Harford Rd | open |
| Emma's Tea Spot | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · British / Irish pub food | 5500 Harford Rd | open |
| Farm To Face Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4607 Harford Rd | open |
| Fast Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5513 Harford Rd | open |
| Golden Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 6615 Harford Rd | open |
| Goodies Pizza Wings & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6317 Harford Rd | open |
| Hamilton Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5414 Harford Rd | open |
| Hamilton Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 5506 Harford Rd | open | |
| Hamilton Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 5517 Harford Rd | open | |
| Heart in Hand Bread | Bakery | Bakery | 3203 Rosekemp Ave | open |
| Holiday House | Bar | 6427 Harford Rd | open | |
| Koco's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | American | 4301 Harford Rd | open |
| Kuramo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 5702 Harford Rd | open |
| Likealot Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Laurelton Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4226 Harford Rd | open |
| Lost in the 50's Diner | Casual dining | American | 5512 Harford Rd | open |
| Louthan Distilling | Winery / distillery / taproom | 4251 Harford Rd | open | |
| Lulu Chews Dairy Free Caramels | Dessert | 6615 Harford Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4635 Harford Rd 37 | open |
| Micky's Joint | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 5402 Harford Rd | open |
| Natasha's Just Brittle | Dessert | 6615 Harford Rd | open | |
| Near East Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2919 Hamilton Ave | open |
| One Sweet Moment | Dessert | Dessert | 2914 Hamilton Ave | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5246 Harford Rd | open |
| Pizza Bravo Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5440 Harford Rd | open |
| Pompeii Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2301 E Northern Pkwy | open |
| Red Canoe Cafe | Café | Coffee | 4337 Harford Rd | open |
| Sad When It's Gone Desserts | Dessert | Dessert | 6615 Harford Rd | open |
| Silver Queen Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 5429 Harford Rd | open |
| Stokos | Quick service | Pizza · American | 5631 Harford Rd | open |
| Sweet Fields | Dessert | Dessert | 6615 Harford Rd | open |
| The Caribbean Stop Take out and Catering | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 6615 Harford Rd | open |
| The Den | Casual dining · Bar | 4537 Harford Rd | open | |
| The Ibis Tavern | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6016 Harford Rd | open | |
| The LVH by Taste This | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4528 Harford Rd | open |
| The Market at Hamilton | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5500 Harford Rd | open |
| Valentino's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 6627 Harford Rd | open |
| Zeke's Coffee Roasting Facility | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3003 Montebello Terrace | open |
| Arepi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 6615 Harford Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 16 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 17 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 18 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 14 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 28 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |