BMIE Market 21206
Baltimore city, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 48,902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,563 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 20,480 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±793 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 50,846 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 21,762 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $64,531 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,943 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,247 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $216,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,470 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21206 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +11.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +18.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -13.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 37–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21206. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 73.4 | 73 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.7 | 67 | 35% | +23.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 56.6 | 57 | 25% | +14.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 48,902 | 97 | 40% | +38.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 64,531 | 38 | 40% | +15.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 20,480 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.8 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.8 | 81 | 25% | +20.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 48,902 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 64,531 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 5.6 | 62 | 50% | +31.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.8 | 56 | 30% | +16.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 18.8 | 45 | 20% | +9.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (112)
By cuisine
American 18 · Pizza 16 · Chicken / wings 9 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 8 · Chinese 7 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Seafood 7 · Asian 6 · African 5 · Caribbean 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Thai 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 75 · Bar 23 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 11 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Catering 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4912 Hazelwood Ave | open |
| 4325 Bel Air Road Inc | Bar | 4325 Belair Rd | open | |
| AJ's Carry-Out local & international | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern · African | 4405 Belair Rd | open |
| American Buffalo Wings, Grilled Fish and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 5426 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Aqua Weave & Braid Lounge | Bar | 4905 Frankford Ave | open | |
| Arlon's Pizzeria and Carry Outs | Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4918 Hazelwood Ave | open |
| Asian Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5441 Belair Rd | open |
| Asian Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai | 5443 Belair Rd | open |
| Barstool Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6817 Belair Rd | open | |
| Belair and Parkside | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4200 Parkside Dr | open |
| BERTHA'S SOUL FOOD BAR AND GRILL | Casual dining · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 4201 Belair Rd | open |
| Birdland Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 6319 Belair Rd | open | |
| Bmore Lounge | Bar | 5616 Belair Rd | open | |
| Brookey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 4201 Belair Rd | open |
| Buck Fowler's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | American | 6703 Belair Rd | open |
| Buena Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5016 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Charlie & Berts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6100 Moravia Park Dr | open |
| Checkers Checkers and Rally's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5300 Moravia Rd | open |
| City Line Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6510 Belair Rd | open |
| Club 10 | Bar | 6900 Belair Rd | open | |
| Coach House | Bar | 6605 Belair Rd | open | |
| Crabs Down Under | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4918 Hazelwood Ave | open |
| Curran's Delly and Carryout | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5510 Belair Rd Apt 2 | open |
| D&M Sports Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 6317 Belair Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5980 Belair Rd | open |
| E and S Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4905 Frankford Ave | open |
| Ez Street Lounge | Bar · Casual dining | open | ||
| Frank's Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 6620 Belair Rd | open |
| Frankford Exxon Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6300 Belair Rd | open | |
| G&G Rico Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 5443 Belair Rd | open |
| Garden Hub Bar | Bar | 5511 Belair Rd | open | |
| Garden Sea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5301 Belair Rd | open |
| GGWO Cafe | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 6025 Moravia Park Dr | open |
| Gil's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5132 Belair Rd | open |
| Grandma CC's Wings Fish And Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 5216 Belair Rd | open |
| Gud Eats N More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5002 Belair Rd | open |
| Halal Platter - Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5230 Moravia Rd | open | |
| Hava Rest Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5918 Cedonia Ave | open | |
| Hazelwood Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 4937 Hazelwood Ave | open |
| Hip Hop Fish & Chicken Hip Hop Fish & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Seafood · American | 5230 Moravia Rd | open |
| Homemade Brazilian Candies | Dessert | Dessert | 4515 Furley Ave | open |
| Jumbo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4905 Frankford Ave | open |
| Just Good Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5501 Belair Rd | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5000 Sinclair Lane | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6219 Belair Road | open |
| Killa Dogz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 6106 Belair Rd | open |
| Larrells Tropical Quizine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Caribbean | 4905 Frankford Ave | open |
| Lawfem African Restaurant & Catering Services | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 5621 Belair Rd | open |
| Legacy Cigar Lounge | Bar | 6333 Belair Rd | open | |
| Lil Niro's Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 6701 Belair Rd #1166 | open |
| Lindo Caribbean kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 6329 Belair Rd | open |
| Lucky Star Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4300 Belair Rd Ste I | open |
| Lung Wah Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5008 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Lung Wah Graden Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5008 Sinclair Ln | open | |
| Mackey's Caribbean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 4201 Sanner Ave | open |
| Mackey's Crabhouse & Seafood Carryout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 4203 Sanner Ave | open |
| MacWell's Southern Cuisine & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | 4202 Belair Rd | open |
| Makkeey's African Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 5002 Belair Rd | open |
| Manie's BBQ Seafood L | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · BBQ | 5669 Utrecht Rd | open |
| Mary's Catering & African Restaurant | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 5138 Belair Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6001 Moravia Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5713 Belair Rd | open |
| Mickey's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5501 Belair Rd | open |
| Mixers | Bar | 6037 Belair Rd | open | |
| Mount Everest Restaurant Frankford | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 4907 Frankford Ave #5256 | open |
| Natasha's Just Brittle | Bakery | Bakery | 5950 Belair Rd | open |
| Neighbor Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 6329 Belair Rd | open |
| New Berger's Tavern | Bar | 5523 Belair Rd | open | |
| New Chef Carry Out Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6604 Belair Rd | open |
| New Garden Inn Check Cashing | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5511 Belair Rd | open | |
| Niecy's Fabulous Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 5416 Belair Rd Ste 1 | open |
| Overlea Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 6118 Belair Rd | open |
| Overlea Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6652 Belair Rd | open |
| Overlea Subs & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6701 Belair Rd # 1166 | open |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5020 Sinclair Ln #107 | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6663 Belair Rd Baltimore City | open |
| Pizzamore | Delivery-focused | Pizza · American | 6096 Radecke Ave | open |
| Plattaking | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5514 Belair Rd | open | |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5002 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6642 Belair Rd | open |
| Red Rooster Red Rooster | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6412 Frankford Ave | open |
| Roma Little Italy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 4928 Belair Rd | open |
| S&s Lounge | Bar | 6900 Belair Rd | open | |
| Saviour's African Food Restaurant and Catering | Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 4919 Belair Rd | open |
| Seafood Legend Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5500 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Simplee Tastee Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Sina Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6098 Radecke Ave | open |
| Sinclair Chicken Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5002 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Slim's Ace of Club | Bar | 4200 Belair Rd | open | |
| Smacking seafood baltimore | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Seafood | 5401 Belair Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5112 Sinclair Ln | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4206 Frankford Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6109 Belair Rd | open |
| Sully's Seafood Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5514 Belair Rd | open |
| Sun Ming's Chinese Food Carry-Out | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | Belair Road | open |
| Sun Wah Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4901 Frankford Ave | open |
| Sweet Southern Delicacies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6005 Plumer Ave | open |
| The Best Sisters | Quick service | 5230 Moravia Rd | open | |
| The Hub Sports Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 6001 Belair Rd | open | |
| The Juice Bar 2020 | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 4201 Belair Rd | open |
| The Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 4300 BELAIR RD, Suit I | open |
| Tropical Vybes Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Caribbean | 6106 Belair Rd | open |
| Truth Lounge | Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4507 Belair Rd | open |
| Vibes Hookah Lounge | Bar | 6817 Belair Rd | open | |
| Wing It | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4405 Belair Rd | open |
| Wing Things N More | Quick service | 4905 Frankford Ave | open | |
| Woodlea Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4905 Belair Rd | open |
| Wow Bao | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 6817 Belair Rd | open |
| Your Way Pizza & Sub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4301 Belair Rd | open |
| Auto Tag Title Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5801 Belair Rd | closed | |
| Hunan House Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5621 Belair Rd | closed | |
| Mina's Cigar Lounge | Bar | 6333 Belair Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 58 | 44 | — | — | — | 14 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 51 | 36 | — | — | — | 15 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 49 | 35 | — | — | — | 14 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 57 | 44 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 19 | 2 | 13 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 43 | 28 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 47 | 31 | 9 | 22 | — | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 50 | 34 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 42 | 27 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 12 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 47 | 32 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 12 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 46 | 31 | 8 | 22 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 48 | 33 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 47 | 31 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 12 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 28 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 12 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 46 | 33 | 6 | 26 | — | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 45 | 32 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 44 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 8 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 40 | 30 | 5 | 24 | — | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 46 | 36 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 43 | 34 | 4 | 27 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 33 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 44 | 36 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 45 | 36 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 46 | 36 | 5 | 29 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 36 | 4 | 30 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 44 | 37 | 3 | 30 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 35 | 4 | 29 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 43 | 35 | 5 | 28 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 39 | 5 | 31 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 38 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |