BMIE Market 23226
Richmond city, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±851 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,805 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,500 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $126,655 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,685 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,775 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $530,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 23226 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +10.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +28.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +41.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 49 (range 46–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 23226. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.8 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.4 | 64 | 35% | +22.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 67.0 | 67 | 25% | +16.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,477 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,655 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,286 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28.1 | 70 | 35% | +24.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 26.5 | 24 | 25% | +6.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,477 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,655 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 10.8 | 69 | 50% | +34.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28.1 | 70 | 30% | +20.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 41.4 | 59 | 20% | +11.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (80)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 9 · Asian 8 · Dessert 7 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Vietnamese 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Sushi 3 · Burgers 2 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Seafood 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Bar 10 · Dessert 9 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcade Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5810 Grove Ave | open | |
| Bar West | Bar · Casual dining | 5811 Grove Ave | open | |
| Beijing On Grove | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Chinese · American · Asian | 5710 Grove Ave | open |
| Bell Greek Village Bell Greek Midlothian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 7011 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Billy Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6919 Patterson Ave | open |
| Blue Cow Ice Cream Co. Blue Cow Ice Cream Co. | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7017 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Bojo, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5606 Patterson Ave | open | |
| Buckhead's Chophouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | open | |
| Cafe Caturra Grove Avenue, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5811 Grove Ave | open | |
| Cameo Cakery and Cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 306 Libbie Ave | open |
| Caturra on Grove | Bar | 5811 Grove Ave | open | |
| Christian's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 7003 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| City Limits | Bar | 7007 Three Chopt Rd | open | |
| Coast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5806 Grove Ave | open |
| Conejo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 5820 Patterson Ave Ste 103 | open |
| Cuisine A La Carte | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5606 Patterson Ave | open |
| Dandm, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5704 Grove Ave | open | |
| FiftyOne Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 5700 Patterson Ave | open |
| Full Kee Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6400 Horsepen Rd | open |
| Gearharts Fine Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 306 Libbie Ave | open |
| Geescakes | Dessert | Dessert | 6000 Grove Ave | open |
| Gelati Celesti Ice Cream Gelati Celesti Ice Cream | Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 5808 Grove Ave | open |
| Ginger Juice Ginger Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7021 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Glen Forest Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 7202 Glen Forest Dr STE 104 | open |
| Globalmart | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 6326 Rigsby Rd | open |
| Go Bird Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7202 Glen Forest Dr Ste 106 | open | |
| GRACE | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6919 Patterson Ave | open | |
| Grapeleaf Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 7003 Three Chopt Rd Ste A | open |
| Grit Coffee Grit Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 409 Libbie Ave | open |
| Jack Brown's Beer & Burger Joint Jack Brown’s Beer & Burger Joint KDH | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers | 5810 Grove Ave | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 7005 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Jing Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7019 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| La Dona Cocina Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6404 Horsepen Rd | open |
| Lalo's Margaritas Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5714 Patterson Ave | open |
| Mariscos El Barco Mariscos el barco bar and grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Latin American (other) | 6409 Rigsby Rd | open |
| Meadows | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1802 Bayberry Ct Ste 102 | open | |
| Meriwether-Godsey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6001 Grove Ave | open | |
| mezeh Mezeh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 6972 Forest Ave Ste 101 | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7011 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Nuvo Bistro | Bar | 5702 Grove Ave | open | |
| Odyssey | Bar | 6919 Patterson Ave | open | |
| Original Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6406 Horsepen Rd | open |
| Osaka Sushi & Steak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 5023 Huguenot Rd | open |
| Palani Drive | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian | 401 Libbie Ave #1 | open |
| Pearl's Bake Shoppe | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 5811 Patterson Ave | open |
| Pegasus Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Italian | 5604 Patterson Ave | open |
| Peking Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5710 Grove Ave | open | |
| Pho New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 6420 Horsepen Rd | open |
| Pho Tay Do | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 6328 Rigsby Rd | open |
| Pho Thien Phat | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 6403 Rigsby Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5825 Patterson Ave | open |
| Q Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 5401 Glenside Dr | open |
| Saigon Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Pizza | 6313 Rigsby Rd | open |
| Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 7005 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5805 West Broad Street | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5801 Bremo Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 5802 Grove Ave Grove Ave | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 7017 Three Chopt Rd Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Stuffy's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 324 Libbie Ave | open |
| Superstars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5700 Patterson Ave | open |
| sweetFrog | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 409 Libbie Ave | open |
| Talley's Meat and Three | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7021 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Tan & Chau Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6400 Horsepen Rd | open | |
| Taqueria El Jefe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6409 Rigsby Rd | open |
| TASTE TASTE | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 5706 Grove Ave | open |
| The Cafe at St. Stephen's | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 6000 Grove Ave | open |
| The Continental Westhampton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 5704 Grove Ave | open |
| The Grill Brewer - The Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse | 5724 Patterson Ave | open |
| The Wooden Spoon Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Spanish / tapas | 5714 Patterson Ave | open |
| Toast Toast, New American Gastropub at The Village | Casual dining · Bar | American | 7007 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Tyler Nv, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7200 Glen Forest Dr | open | |
| Wasabi Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5023 Huguenot Rd | open | |
| Westhampton Pastry Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5728 Patterson Ave | open |
| Westwood Fountain | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5823 Patterson Ave | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | 7003 Three Chopt Road | open | |
| Yum Yum Good Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5612 Patterson Ave | open |
| Zazoli Sweets | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 5712 Patterson Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7035 Three Chopt Rd | open |
| Karen's Homemades | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5714 Patterson Ave | closed | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7003 Three Chopt Rd Unit 2 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 39 | 39 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 37 | 37 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 35 | 35 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 35 | 34 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 35 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 36 | 33 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 40 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 41 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 38 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 40 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 46 | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 45 | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 49 | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 41 | 20 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 43 | 22 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 54 | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 53 | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |